{"type":"script","doc_desc":{"producers":[{"name":"San Martin","abbr":"LESM","affiliation":"World Bank","role":"Junior data scientist"}],"prod_date":"2023-12","version":"1"},"project_desc":{"title_statement":{"idno":"RR_CAF_2023_54-v01","title":"Reproducibility package for Stuck in a Conflict Trap: The Case of the Central African Republic Civil War"},"authoring_entity":[{"name":"Pierre Mandon","affiliation":"World Bank","email":"pmandon@worldbank.org"},{"name":"Vincent Nossek","affiliation":"World Bank; CERDI, University Clermont Auvergne","email":"vnossek@worldbank.org"},{"name":"Diderot Sandjong Tomi","affiliation":"World Bank; University of Ottawa","email":"dsandjongtomi@worldbank.org"}],"production_date":"2023-12","abstract":"This paper uses the synthetic control method to assess the impact of the civil war in the Central African Republic on the main socioeconomic indicators. Based on a donor pool of low-income countries, the paper builds a synthetic counterfactual to evaluate the magnitude of the socioeconomic impacts of the civil war. The results indicate that the civil war led to a significant drop in gross domestic product per capita (41.6 percent), nighttime light intensity (33.8 percent), industrial production (34.1 percent), manufacturing value added (33.7 percent), and the human asset index (20.2 percent), from 2013, which is considered as the starting point of the ongoing political and civil crisis.","geographic_units":[{"name":"Central African Republic","code":"CAR"}],"keywords":[{"name":"Central African Republic"},{"name":"Civil war"},{"name":"Development trap"},{"name":"Synthetic control method"}],"topics":[{"id":"C31","name":"Cross-Sectional Models \u2022 Spatial Models \u2022 Treatment Effect Models \u2022 Quantile Regressions \u2022 Social Interaction Models","uri":"https:\/\/www.aeaweb.org\/econlit\/jelCodes.php?view=jel"},{"id":"D74","name":"Conflict \u2022 Conflict Resolution \u2022 Alliances \u2022 Revolutions","uri":"https:\/\/www.aeaweb.org\/econlit\/jelCodes.php?view=jel"},{"id":"O11","name":"Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development","uri":"https:\/\/www.aeaweb.org\/econlit\/jelCodes.php?view=jel"}],"output":[{"type":"Working paper","title":"Stuck in a Conflict Trap: The Case of the Central African Republic Civil War","authors":"Pierre Mandon, Vincent Nossek, Diderot Sandjong Tomi","description":"Policy Research Working Paper (PRWP) 10624","uri":"https:\/\/documents.worldbank.org\/en\/publication\/documents-reports\/documentdetail\/099817212042333118\/idu08d62e24d0a9ef04f1d09ea60a9ee9a4e9b72","doi":"10.1596\/1813-9450-10624"}],"language":[{"name":"English","code":"EN"}],"data_statement":"All the data used is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.","datasets":[{"name":"World Development Indicators (WDI)","note":"Data on GDP per capita PPP,  industrial value added, and manufacturing value added were obtained from this dataset","access_type":"Data is publicly available","uri":"https:\/\/databank.worldbank.org\/source\/world-development-indicators"},{"name":"Human Asset Index (HAI) from Feindouno and Goujon (2019)","uri":"https:\/\/ferdi.fr\/en\/indicators\/human-assets-index-hai","access_type":"Data is publicly available","note":"Dataset paper: Feindouno S, Goujon M. Human Assets Index: Insights from a Retrospective Series Analysis. Soc Indic Res. 2019;141(3):959\u201384. "},{"name":"Nighttime lights (NTLs) data from the Earth Observation Group, Colorado School of Mines","uri":"https:\/\/payneinstitute.mines.edu\/eog\/","note":"We use the Version 4 DMSP-OLS Nighttime Lights Time Series for the data from 1992 to 2013 [2], combined with the DMSP Nighttime Lights Extension for the period 2014 to 2021 [3]. We extracted the sum of the NTL values within a buffer of 10 km radius drawn around the centroids of the capital cities of low-income countries. The extraction was done with the ArcGIS software.\n[2] Baugh, K., Elvidge, C. D., Ghosh, T., & Ziskin, D. (2010). Development of a 2009 stable lights product using DMSP-OLS data. Proceedings of the Asia-Pacific Advanced Network, 30(0), 114. \n[3] Ghosh, T.; Baugh, K.E.; Elvidge, C.D.; Zhizhin, M.; Poyda, A.; Hsu, F.-C. Extending the DMSP Nighttime Lights Time Series beyond 2013. Remote Sens. 2021, 13, 5004.","access_type":"Data is publicly available"}],"software":[{"name":"Stata","version":"18"}],"scripts":[{"file_name":"RR_CAF_2023_54-v01","zip_package":"RR_CAF_2023_54-v01.zip","title":"Reproducibility package for Stuck in a Conflict Trap: The Case of the Central African Republic Civil War","date":"2023-12","software":"Stata","dependencies":"synth","notes":"Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DIME) Analytics team, World Bank."}],"repository_uri":[{"name":"Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank)","uri":"https:\/\/reproducibility.worldbank.org"}],"technology_requirements":"Runtime: 10 minutes","technology_environment":"Paper exhibits were reproduced in a computer with the following specifications:\n- OS: Windows 10 Enterprise, version 21H2\n- Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6226R CPU @ 2.9GHz\n- Memory available: 128 GB\n- Software version: Stata 18.0 MP","license":[{"name":"Modified BSD3","uri":"https:\/\/opensource.org\/license\/bsd-3-clause\/"}],"disclaimer":"The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development\/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.","contacts":[{"name":"Pierre Mandon","affiliation":"World Bank","email":"pmandon@worldbank.org"},{"name":"Reproducibility WBG","affiliation":"World Bank","email":"reproducibility@worldbank.org"}]},"tags":[{"tag":"DOI"},{"tag":"Open code"},{"tag":"Open data"}],"schematype":"script"}