Amidst slower global growth, a shifting labor market, and rising protectionism, governments around the world are increasingly turning to a once controversial policy. Industrial policy—the range of policy tools governments use to shape what an economy produces, rather than leaving it to markets alone—is back with a vengeance.
Contrary to recent headlines, advanced economies are not the heaviest users of industrial policy. As this report documents, developing economies use it more intensively. New data show that total business subsidies among upper-middle-income economies now average 4.2 percent of GDP—the highest on record. Middle-income economies have higher average import tariffs and more dispersion of tariffs across individual products compared to high-income economies—evidence of stronger targeted protection of certain industries. A review of the latest national development plans across 183 countries finds that low-income countries target growth in 13 industries on average, more than twice the number in high-income countries.
This report offers the first comprehensive guide to industrial policy for development in the 21st century, distinctive in four respects: it covers 15 policy tools—well beyond the existing literature's focus on tariffs and subsidies; it provides practical guidance on design and implementation, including how to target industries and design effective institutions; it draws on new evidence from more than 60 countries; and it identifies targeted approaches for governments using industrial policy to pursue specific goals, from earning foreign exchange and creating jobs to reducing pollution and strengthening security and resilience.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise, version 23H2
• Processor: Intel Xeon Platinum 8562Y+ 2.80 GHz (2 processors)
• Memory available: 64 GB
Runtime: 30 minutes
1. Access the data: some of the datasets required to run the reproducibility package are restricted and not included in the reproducibility package. Users need to gain access to the data before being able to run the entire code. See the section Datasets and the README for more information.
2. Run the Stata code: Change the file path in the do-file "1-Main" and run it.
3. Run the R code: Open the R script "fig 15.R" and run it.
4. Open the Excel files: Open the Excel file "Output/figures/fig 2.xlsx" to reproduce figure 2 and "Output/tables/table 1_2.xlsx" to reproduce table 1.2.
Since not all the data are included, the package includes the results produced in the reproducibility verification. These files can be used to review the results presented in the paper.
Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Margarida Fernandes | World Bank | afernandes@worldbank.org |
| Tristan Reed | World Bank | treed@worldbank.org |
2026-01-14
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| World | WLD |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| Modified BSD3 | https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/ |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Margarida Fernandes | World Bank | afernandes@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
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