This paper studies how improvements in regulatory information systems affect credit allocation in rural financial markets. In 2021, the Central Bank of Brazil introduced major enhancements to the Rural Credit Bureau, first by integrating geospatial data on borrowers’ plots with national environmental and social compliance registries, and then by automating real-time verification of credit applications. These reforms simultaneously increased the information available to financial institutions and established a centralized second line of defense that blocks non-compliant credit operations. Using municipality-level data, we find that after the improvement in regulatory information, credit growth slowed in areas with larger shares of protected land, particularly among cooperatives and public banks. The effect is consistent across regions and biomes, indicating the operation of a uniform national enforcement mechanism. We rule out confounding policy changes and show that the results are not driven by shifts in credit demand or bank risk exposure. The findings suggest that combining improved data integration with real-time monitoring can strengthen environmental enforcement by redirecting financial flows away from high-risk areas without broadly constraining access to rural credit.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
• Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6226R CPU @ 2.90GHz
• Memory available: 32.0 GB
Runtime: 45 minutes
Once users have access to all required datasets, the findings of the paper can be reproduced by following the steps below.
0_master_dataset.do do-file and run the script. This step requires access to all raw data sources and is intended to be run only by users with full data access.1_create_data.do do-file and run the script. Users without access to the raw data may begin from this step, using the intermediate datasets included in the replication package.2_analysis.do do-file and run the script.QGIS_Figure2.py script and run the script to reproduce Figure 2.Data is publicly available but not all is included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Pedraza | World Bank | apedrazamorales@worldbank.org |
| Faruk Miguel | World Bank | fmiguelliriano@worldbank.org |
| Lucas Dos Santos | World Bank | lsoaresdossantos@worldbank.org |
| Claudia Ruiz-Ortega | World Bank | cruizortega@worldbank.org |
| Silvio Arduini | Banco Central do Brasil | silvio.arduini@bcb.gov.br |
| Claudio Moreira | Banco Central do Brasil | claudio.filgueiras@bcb.gov.br |
| Paulo Sampaio | Banco Central do Brasil | sampaio@bcb.gov.br |
2026-02-06
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| Brazil | BRA |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| Modified BSD3 | https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/ |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Pedraza | World Bank | apedrazamorales@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
2026-02-06
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