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Reproducibility package for Hooked on Subsidies: The Case for Reform

2026
Reference ID
FR_WLD_2025_464
Author(s)
World Bank
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Flagships and Reports
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JSON
Created on
Feb 26, 2026
Last modified
Apr 06, 2026
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  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Overview

    Abstract

    This flagship establishes a conceptualization of fiscal subsidies, estimates their fiscal costs in emerging market and developing economies, provides a framework for assessing them, and demonstrates sectoral applications of the framework. Emerging market and developing economies spend an average of 6.9 percent of GDP annually on subsidies — often exceeding combined public spending on health and education — making subsidies a major driver of deteriorating fiscal balances. Many of these subsidies are poorly targeted, disproportionately benefiting wealthier households, and a significant share remains hard to account for and absent from official fiscal reporting, meaning true costs are likely even higher. The assessment framework introduced in this report consists of six pillars: rationale and appropriateness, design, fiscal costs, additionality and welfare improvements, implementation, and evaluation. Applied across sectors, the framework reveals that reforming, repurposing, or ending them can generate substantial savings that could be redirected toward productive investments in human capital and infrastructure. The report also identifies pathways for reform, including improved transparency and tracking, better-targeted delivery mechanisms, and political economy strategies to build broad-based support for change.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/484/download/1524/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Hooked on Subsidies: The Case for Reform
    File name
    FR_WLD_2025_464
    Zip package
    FR_WLD_2025_464.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Hooked on Subsidies: The Case for Reform
    Date
    2026-02
    Dependencies
    R dependencies are listed in the file renv.lock. Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    R
    Name
    R
    Version
    4.5.1
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    19.0 MP
    Python
    Name
    Python
    Version
    3.10.19
    Excel
    Name
    Excel
    Version
    2512

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6226R CPU @ 2.90GHz (2.90 GHz) (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 16.0 GB

    Technology requirements

    Run time: ~ 5 hours

    Reproduction instructions

    The report is organized into 8 standalone chapter folders. Each chapter contains its own README, data, and code.

    A general README is included at the top level of the repository. It provides a high-level overview of the report, indicates which software is used in each chapter, and lists all datasets used across the report.

    To reproduce results for a specific chapter:

    1. Open the relevant chapter folder.
    2. Read the chapter-specific README.
    3. Obtain any required restricted datasets (see Dataset section) and place them in the appropriate folders.
    4. Recreate the software environment as required (Ado files, renv, and environment files are included) and update file paths in the main script if needed.
    5. Run the main script or follow the instructions provided for that chapter.

    Chapters use Stata, R, Python, and/or Excel. Refer to the chapter README for software-specific details.

    Data

    Datasets
    World Economic Outlook Database
    Name
    World Economic Outlook Database
    Note
    1. Data accessed in May 2025. The author compiled an additional dataset, WEO_country_bridge_table.dta, which maps country names as they appear in the WEO to corresponding ISO codes for use with other datasets. Files: Chapter 2/Raw data folder/WEO_country_bridge_table.dta; WEOApr2025all.xlsx. 2. Data accessed in September 2025. Gross domestic product, deflator, just for the USA from 2015-2025. Files: sheet “WEO GDP deflator data” in Chapter 6.3/Agriculture.xlsx. 3. Data accessed in September 2024. Inflation rate, average consumer prices. Files: sheet "IMF_Infla" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/about/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/weo-database/2025/april
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund. 2025. World Economic Outlook, April 2025. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
    The Government Finance Statistics Statement of Operations
    Name
    The Government Finance Statistics Statement of Operations
    Note
    Data were accessed in September 2025. The author compiled two additional files: Preferred level of government list.xlsx, which identifies the level of government selected for each country in the GFS data based on data availability, recency, and analytical relevance; and GFS_country_bridge_table.dta, which maps country names as they appear in GFS to standardized ISO country codes for use with other datasets. File Location: Chapter 2/Raw data folder. Files: Preferred level of government list.xlsx; GFS_country_bridge_table.dta; GFS_SOO.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/about/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:GFS_SOO
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund. 2025. GFS Statement of Operations, https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:GFS_SOO. Accessed on September 2025.
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Name
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2025. Files: Chapter 2/Raw data folder/OGHIST_2025_07_01.xlsx; Chapter 5.1/data/raw_data/OGHIST_2025_10_07.xlsx; sheet "Income groups" in Chapter 6.3/Agriculture.xlsx; Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/CLASS.xlsx; Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1/Data/CLASS_2025_10_07.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
    Data URL
    https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. "World Bank Country and Lending Groups" [dataset]. Downloaded from https://ddh-openapi.worldbank.org/resources/DR0095334/download. Accessed September 2025.
    Global Tax Expenditures Database
    Name
    Global Tax Expenditures Database
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2025 and November 2024. Multiple versions of files used in different chapters. Find more details in chapter-specific README. File Location: Chapter 2/Raw data folder/GTED_FullDatabase_20250505.xlsx; Chapter 5.1/data/raw_data/GTED Data Download GTED (202411).xlsx; Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1/Data/GTED_FullDatabase_20240125.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
    Data URL
    https://gted.taxexpenditures.org/data/Full/GTED_FullDatabase_20250505.xlsx
    Citation
    (1) Redonda, A., von Haldenwang, C., & Aliu, F. (2025). Global Tax Expenditures Database (GTED) (1.3.1) [dataset]. Tax Expenditures Lab. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13332268; (2) Redonda, A., von Haldenwang, C., & Aliu, F. (2025). Global Tax Expenditures Database (GTED) (1.3.2) [dataset]. Tax Expenditures Lab. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17312217
    Fossil Fuel Subsidies
    Name
    Fossil Fuel Subsidies
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2025. File Location: Chapter 2/Raw data folder. Files: Fossil_Fuel_Subsidies.csv
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/about/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://climatedata.imf.org/datasets/d48cfd2124954fb0900cef95f2db2724_0/explore
    Citation
    Black, Simon; Liu, Antung A.; Parry, Ian; Vernon, Nate. 2023. IMF Fossil Fuel Subsidies Date: 2023 Update. International Monetary Fund. ISBN: 9798400249006/1018-5941. IMF staff estimations.
    BOOST aggregator, subsidy flagship vintage (Sept 2025)
    Name
    BOOST aggregator, subsidy flagship vintage (Sept 2025)
    Note
    Data were accessed in September 2025. The author used the file aggregator_basic.xlsm, which contains aggregated country-level BOOST data compiled by the World Bank from granular FMIS sources in consultation with country authorities. The file also relies on two helper datasets: BOOST_selection.xlsx, which includes country-level characteristics used to restrict the sample, and BOOST_country_bridge_table.dta, which maps country names as they appear in BOOST to standardized ISO country codes for use with other datasets. File Location: Chapter 2\Raw data folder. Files: aggregator_basic.xlsm; BOOST_selection.xlsx; BOOST_country_bridge_table.dta
    Access policy
    Data is only available to World Bank staff for official Bank use, and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    License Not Applicable (AMS 6.21A)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/all-licenses?fragment=lna
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0066925/boost_aggregator_subsidy_flagship_vintage_sept_2025
    Citation
    World Bank. “BOOST.” Unpublished data. Accessed September 2025.
    Fiscal survey, subsidy flagship vintage (July 2025)
    Name
    Fiscal survey, subsidy flagship vintage (July 2025)
    Note
    Data were accessed in September 2025. The author used the dataset WBFD core variables in columns.dta, which contains core fiscal survey data compiled by the World Bank through a biannual EMFTX-led exercise with country teams and mapped to GFS categories for cross-country comparability. File Location: Chapter 2\Raw data folder. Files: WBFD core variables in columns.dta
    Access policy
    Data is only available to World Bank staff for official Bank use, and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    License Not Applicable (AMS 6.21A)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/all-licenses?fragment=lna
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0066926/fiscal_survey_subsidy_flagship_vintage_july_2025
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Fiscal Survey, Subsidy Flagship Vintage (July 2025). Accessed September 2025.
    Corporate Income Tax Incentives Database
    Name
    Corporate Income Tax Incentives Database
    Note
    Data accessed in January 20, 2025. File Location: Chapter 5.1/data/raw_data. Files: World Bank CIT Incentives Database - Streamlined data by incentive Jan 2025.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is forthcoming in the World Bank Development Data Hub
    R&D Tax Incentives
    Name
    R&D Tax Incentives
    Note
    Data accessed in 2024. Authors compiled the data using OECD data explorer. File Location: Chapter 5.2/data/Updated. Files: RDTAX_02072024152147036
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.oecd.org/en/about/terms-conditions.html
    Citation
    OECD (2024), Estimates of government support for business R&D through tax incentives, OECD Data Explorer, https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (accessed on 2024).
    GDP per capita
    Name
    GDP per capita
    Note
    Data accessed in 2024. Authors compiled the data using OECD data explorer. File Location: Chapter 5.2/data/Updated/PDB_LV_13062024044944980.csv
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.oecd.org/en/about/terms-conditions.html
    Citation
    OECD (2024), GDP per capita in current USD and PPPs, by country and year, OECD Data Explorer, https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (accessed on 2024).
    VAT Threshold Dataset
    Name
    VAT Threshold Dataset
    Note
    File Location: Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1/Data. Files: VAT_threshold.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/about/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/external/np/fad/tpaf/files/VAT_threshold.xlsx
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund (IMF). Tax Policy Assessment Framework (TPAF) – VAT Threshold Dataset. Washington, D.C.: IMF Fiscal Affairs Department, 2022. Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/np/fad/tpaf/files/VAT_threshold.xlsx
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    1. Data accessed in July 2024. Country-level panel of GNI per capita (Atlas method, current US$) for years 2021 and 2022. File: Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1/Data/P_Data_Extract_From_World_Development_Indicators.xlsx. 2. Data accessed in September 2025. GDP, current USD (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD). Files: sheet “GDP” in Chapter 6.3/Agriculture.xlsx; Sheet "WDI_GDP" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx. 3. Data accessed in 2024. Population, total. File: Sheet "WDI_Pop" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx. 4. Data accessed in 2024. Official exchange rate (LCU per US$, period average). File: Sheet "WDI_Exch_Rate" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx. 5. Data accessed in November 2025. Country-level metadata. File: Chapter 2/Raw data folder/WDICountry.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
    Data URL
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. Multiple Indicators accessed. Accessed in 2024 and 2025. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    CEQ Country-Year Decile Dataset
    Name
    CEQ Country-Year Decile Dataset
    Note
    Data available to World Bank users on Development Data Hub. File Location: Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1/Data. Files: CEQPartB_deciledata_2024_march.dta
    Access policy
    Data is only available to World Bank staff for official Bank use, and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    License Not Applicable (AMS 6.21A)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/all-licenses?fragment=lna
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0066952/Fiscal-Incidence-Analysis-on-VAT-expenditures-microsimulations-for-Chapter-6-of-the-Prosperity-Subsidy-Report--P181180----Hooked-on-Subsidies--Rising-Fiscal-Costs-and-the-Imperative-for-Reform-
    Citation
    World Bank (2025). Fiscal Incidence Analysis for Chapter 6 of EFI Subsidy Report: Hooked on Subsidies: Rising Fiscal Costs and the Imperative for Reform.
    Simulation Results Dataset
    Name
    Simulation Results Dataset
    Note
    Data available to World Bank users on Development Data Hub. File Location: Chapter 6.1/Section 6.1b/Data. Files: simulation_results.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is only available to World Bank staff for official Bank use, and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    License Not Applicable (AMS 6.21A)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/all-licenses?fragment=lna
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0066952/Fiscal-Incidence-Analysis-on-VAT-expenditures-microsimulations-for-Chapter-6-of-the-Prosperity-Subsidy-Report--P181180----Hooked-on-Subsidies--Rising-Fiscal-Costs-and-the-Imperative-for-Reform-
    Citation
    World Bank (2025). Fiscal Incidence Analysis for Chapter 6 of EFI Subsidy Report: Hooked on Subsidies: Rising Fiscal Costs and the Imperative for Reform.
    Agriculture Support Data
    Name
    Agriculture Support Data
    Note
    Data were accessed in April 2024 and compiled by the authors. The dataset combines agricultural support and public expenditure data from OECD, Inter-American Development Bank, FAO–MAFAP, and IFPRI. It is an updated version of earlier data developed for Repurposing Agricultural Policies and Support. The data include measures of market price support, producer support, general services support, and consumer support, with distinctions between coupled and decoupled subsidies. Further details on sources, variable definitions, country coverage, and construction methods are provided in the README. File: Chapter 6.3/Agriculture.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    World Bank. 2024. Agriculture support data for “Hooked on Subsidies: Rising Fiscal Costs and the Imperative for Reform” [dataset]. Compiled using data from OECD, Inter-American Development Bank, FAO–MAFAP, and IFPRI. Accessed April 2024.
    Climate Policy Assessment Tool (CPAT) Dataset for Chapter 6 of the Prosperity Subsidy Report
    Name
    Climate Policy Assessment Tool (CPAT) Dataset for Chapter 6 of the Prosperity Subsidy Report
    Note
    Data were accessed in August 2024. Data available to World Bank users on Development Data Hub. File Location: Chapter 6.4. Files: CPAT 1.0pre_358_SFR.xlsb; Multiscenario Tool 1.332_SFR.xlsb; FIGURE_6.11_REPLICATION.
    Access policy
    Data is only available to World Bank staff for official Bank use, and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    License Not Applicable (AMS 6.21A)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/all-licenses?fragment=lna
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0066906/climate_policy_assessment_tool_cpat_dataset_for_chapter_6_of_the_prosperity_subsidy_report_p18118
    Citation
    Climate Policy Assessment Tool (CPAT) Dataset for Chapter 6 of the Prosperity Subsidy Report (P181180), The World Bank
    Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene
    Name
    Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene
    Note
    Latest data available is from 2022. Data manually assembled by the authors and includes country level Water and Sanitation Coverage. Files: sheets "JMP_Water", "JMP_WasteWater", and "JMP_Code" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://washdata.org/data
    Citation
    WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene (JMP) [dataset] (2022)
    Country and Equity Risk Premiums
    Name
    Country and Equity Risk Premiums
    Note
    Data accessed in 2024. The analysis uses the “Risk Premiums for Other Markets” file, specifically the “ctryprem” Excel sheet, tab “ERPs by country,” Column F (“Country Risk Premium”). As the database is periodically updated, values may change over time; archived versions are available on the website under Data → Archived Data. Files: sheet "Damo_2024" in Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/00_CountryDataWithMasterKey.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/dataarchived.html
    Citation
    Damodaran, A. (2024). Country Risk Premiums and Related Financial Data [dataset].
    Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) of Green Subsidies
    Name
    Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) of Green Subsidies
    Note
    Data accessed in 2025. Author compiled dataset. File location: Chapter 5.3. Files: FTT Power - Results S1-2.xlsx; FTT Power - Results S3.xlsx; FTT Transport - Results S1.xlsx; FTT_countries.csv; MVPF_aggregation.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/public-licenses
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/data/dataset/0067038/mvpf_of_green_subsidies
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) of Green Subsidies. Accessed in 2025.
    IBNET Water Utility datasets
    Name
    IBNET Water Utility datasets
    Note
    1. Data received in September 2024. Historical IBNET utility-level dataset covering years 1994–2022. File: Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/IBNET_2023.xlsx. 2. Data received in September 2024. Updated IBNET utility dataset under the revised reporting system (2022–2024), including pilot phase data. File: Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/New_IBNET_2024.xlsx. 3. Data received in September 2024. IBNET Key Performance Indicators dataset (including annual electrical and labor costs for utilities). File: Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/New_IBNET_KPI_2024.xlsx. 4. Data received in September 2024. Extract of the IBNET global tariff database consolidating publicly available water and sanitation tariffs for benchmarking and comparison. File: Chapter 6.2/Final_Calculations/IBNET_WaterTariff_Calculations_20241031.xlsx. 5. Data received in November 2025. Regional tariff dataset prepared using 2022 IBNET data to generate Figure 6_6 in the report. File: Chapter 6.2/Tariffs data for Fig 6-6.xlsx. 6. Data created by the project team in 2024. Master utility concordance file used to harmonize utility identifiers and variable names across different IBNET rounds. File: Chapter 6.2/Data_Cleaning/IBNET_Utility_MasterFile.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is forthcoming in the World Bank Development Data Hub
    Citation
    The World Bank Group. World Bank IBNET Water Utility datasets: KPIs from IBNET and NewIBNET 1994-2023. Washington, DC: World Bank.
    Data statement

    Some data is limited-access and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    Reproducibility package for Hooked on Subsidies: The Case for Reform
    Type
    World Bank Reports & Flagships
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Hooked on Subsidies: The Case for Reform
    URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/hooked-on-subsidies
    Authors
    Author
    World Bank
    Date of production

    2026-02-20

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD
    Keywords
    Subsidies Tax Expenditures Direct Transfers State Support Distortions Industrial Policy Social Assistance Cost-Benefit Analysis
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    H20 General H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H21 Efficiency • Optimal Taxation H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H22 Incidence H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H23 Externalities • Redistributive Effects • Environmental Taxes and Subsidies H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H25 Business Taxes and Subsidies H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H30 General H3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H31 Household H3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H32 Firm H3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H53 Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs H5 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Eric Lacey World Bank elacey@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-02-20

    Document version

    1

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