We model and estimate the welfare effects of the property tax—the most under-utilized tax in developing countries. Our model shows property tax hikes impact welfare by reducing compliance and exacerbating liquidity constraints. Enforcement impacts welfare by subjecting non-compliant taxpayers to threats of fines and property seizure. The model yields a sufficient- statistics condition indicating when tax hikes raise welfare more than enforcement. In our setting, administrative data, sharp tax increases, and an enforcement experiment show both policies increase revenue. Tax hikes also raise welfare because revenue gains surpass liquidity costs. However, enforcement reduces welfare as threat costs overshadow revenue increases.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
• Processor: INTEL(R) XEON(R) PLATINUM 8562Y+ (2.80 GHz) (2 processors)
• Memory available: 32 GB
Run time: 3 hours
Users will only be able to run the portion of the analysis that uses publicly available data included in the replication package. To reproduce that portion, a replicator must:
_Main.do and update the global directory path on line 33 to match your local directory. Locate the MATLAB executable on the local machine and add its path to line 65 of _Main.do._Main.do. The outputs will be generated in the outputs folder.Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Anne Brockmeyer | IFS, UCL, World Bank & CEPR | abrockmeyer@worldbank.org |
| Alejandro Estefan | University of Notre Dame | mestefan@nd.edu |
| Karina Ramírez Arras | Secretaría de Hacienda | karina_ramirez@hacienda.gob.mx |
| Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato | Stanford GSB & NBER | jcsuarez@stanford.edu |
2026-06-04
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| Mexico | MEX |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| MIT License | https://opensource.org/license/mit |
| World Bank IGO Rider | https://github.com/worldbank/metadata-editor/blob/main/WB-IGO-RIDER.md |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Anne Brockmeyer | IFS, UCL, World Bank & CEPR | abrockmeyer@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
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