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Reproducibility package for Taxing Property In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence From Mexico

2026
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Reference ID
PP_MEX_2026_604
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/q1rj-w760
Author(s)
Anne Brockmeyer, Alejandro Estefan, Karina Ramírez Arras, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato
Collections
Journal articles
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Mar 24, 2026
Last modified
Jun 09, 2026
Page views
39
  • Project Description
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  • Description
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  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    We model and estimate the welfare effects of the property tax—the most under-utilized tax in developing countries. Our model shows property tax hikes impact welfare by reducing compliance and exacerbating liquidity constraints. Enforcement impacts welfare by subjecting non-compliant taxpayers to threats of fines and property seizure. The model yields a sufficient- statistics condition indicating when tax hikes raise welfare more than enforcement. In our setting, administrative data, sharp tax increases, and an enforcement experiment show both policies increase revenue. Tax hikes also raise welfare because revenue gains surpass liquidity costs. However, enforcement reduces welfare as threat costs overshadow revenue increases.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/510/download/1706/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Taxing Property In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence From Mexico
    File name
    PP_MEX_2026_604
    Zip package
    PP_MEX_2026_604.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Taxing Property In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence From Mexico
    Date
    2026-06
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    19 MP
    Matlab
    Name
    Matlab
    Version
    2024b

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: INTEL(R) XEON(R) PLATINUM 8562Y+ (2.80 GHz) (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 32 GB

    Technology requirements

    Run time: 3 hours

    Reproduction instructions

    Users will only be able to run the portion of the analysis that uses publicly available data included in the replication package. To reproduce that portion, a replicator must:

    1. Update Directory Paths: Open _Main.do and update the global directory path on line 33 to match your local directory. Locate the MATLAB executable on the local machine and add its path to line 65 of _Main.do.
    2. Run the Package: Execute _Main.do. The outputs will be generated in the outputs folder.
      Because access to the restricted data will not be possible for most users, this package includes all code and outputs used in the analysis for transparency. These files can be used to validate and review the results presented in the paper.

    Data

    Datasets
    Targeting of 2014 Property Tax Debt Enforcement Intervention
    Name
    Targeting of 2014 Property Tax Debt Enforcement Intervention
    Note
    Source: Treasury of Mexico City Filename: ExperimentalDataHabitational.dta, hab 2014.dta
    Access policy
    Data access was granted directly to the study authors by the data owners. It was obtained with a custom data license that does not allow for redistribution and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    Treasury of Mexico City. Targeting of 2014 Property Tax Debt Enforcement Intervention [dataset]. Accessed 2019.
    Property Tax Records (Cadaster, Tax Bills, Tax Payments)
    Name
    Property Tax Records (Cadaster, Tax Bills, Tax Payments)
    Note
    Source: Treasury of Mexico City Filename: 2008 01.dta - 2012 06.dta, Completa 2008.dta - Completa 2010.dta, Payments 01 2011.dta -Payments 12 2012.dta
    Access policy
    Data access was granted directly to the study authors by the data owners. It was obtained with a custom data license that does not allow for redistribution and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    Treasury of Mexico City. Property Tax Records (Cadaster, Tax Bills, Tax Payments) [dataset]. Accessed 2017.
    National Survey of Household Income and Expenditure (ENIGH)
    Name
    National Survey of Household Income and Expenditure (ENIGH)
    Note
    Source: National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) Filenames: NCV Hogares 2008 concil 2010.dta , NCV Hogares 2014 concil 2010.dta,NCV Concentrado 2008 concil 2010.dta, NCV Concentrado 2014 concil 2010.dta, ncv viviendas 2012 concil 2010.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    INEGI's Terms of Use
    License URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/terminos.html
    Data URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    Citation
    National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). "National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE)
    Name
    National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE)
    Note
    Source: National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) Filenames: 2008trim2_dta.zip, 2010trim2_dta.zip, 2012trim2_dta.zip, 2014trim2_dta.zip
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    INEGI's Terms of Use
    License URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/terminos.html
    Data URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/
    Citation
    National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE). "National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    National Survey of Financial Inclusion (ENIF)
    Name
    National Survey of Financial Inclusion (ENIF)
    Note
    Source: National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) Filename: enif_2018_bd_dbf.zip
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    INEGI's Terms of Use
    License URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/terminos.html
    Data URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/contenidos/programas/enif/2018/microdatos/enif_2018_bd_dbf.zip.
    Citation
    National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). "National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    National Housing Survey (ENVI) 2014
    Name
    National Housing Survey (ENVI) 2014
    Note
    Source: National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) Filename: envi2014_bd_dbf.zip
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    INEGI's Terms of Use
    License URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/terminos.html
    Data URL
    https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/envi/2014/
    Citation
    National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). "National Housing Survey (ENVI) 2020" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    Mexico City Postal Codes data
    Name
    Mexico City Postal Codes data
    Note
    Source: Agencia Digital de Innovaci´on P´ublica. (2024) Filenames: codigos-postales-de-la-cdmx.shp
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    CC BY 4.0
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.es
    Data URL
    https://datos.cdmx.gob.mx/dataset/codigos-postales-de-la-cdmx.
    Citation
    National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). "National Housing Survey (ENVI) 2020" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enigh/
    Google Trends Search Index (”predial”)
    Name
    Google Trends Search Index (”predial”)
    Note
    Source: Google Trends Filename: GoogleTrends.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Google Terms of Service
    License URL
    https://policies.google.com/terms?hl=en
    Data URL
    https://trends.google.com/trends/
    Citation
    Google Trends. "Google Trends Search Index (”predial”)" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://www.google.com/trends
    International Survey on Revenue Administration (ISORA)
    Name
    International Survey on Revenue Administration (ISORA)
    Note
    Source: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Filenames: 6A Return Filing20162017.xlsx, 9B Third Party Data Interventions an20162017.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://data.imf.org/en/Datasets/RAFIT-Consolidated/Terms-and-Conditions
    Data URL
    https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/ISORA:ISORA_LATEST_DATA_PUB
    Citation
    The International Monetary Fund (IMF). "International Survey on Revenue Administration (ISORA)" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/ISORA:ISORA_LATEST_DATA_PUB
    Global Findex Database 2025
    Name
    Global Findex Database 2025
    Note
    Source: World Bank Filenames: GlobalFindex2025.dta, micro mex.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Open access
    License URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/terms-of-use#open_access
    Data URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/3238
    Citation
    World Bank. "Global Findex Database 2025" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/3238
    World Revenue Longitudinal Data
    Name
    World Revenue Longitudinal Data
    Note
    Source: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Filename: imf world.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://data.imf.org/en/Datasets/RAFIT-Consolidated/Terms-and-Conditions
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/topics/fiscal-policies/world-revenue-longitudinal-database
    Citation
    The International Monetary Fund (IMF). "World Revenue Longitudinal Data" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/3238
    World Bank Atlas Country Classification
    Name
    World Bank Atlas Country Classification
    Note
    Source: World Bank Filename: OGHIST.xls
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    CC BY 4.0 license
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://databankfiles.worldbank.org/public/ddpext download/site-content/OGHIST.xls.
    Citation
    World Bank. "World Bank Atlas Country Classification" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://databankfiles.worldbank.org/public/ddpext download/site-content/OGHIST.xls.
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Source: World Bank Filenames: Data Extract From World Development Indicators,WDI_1002_1, WDI_0930_1
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    CC BY 4.0 license
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Citation
    World Bank. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. Accessed 2026. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Data statement

    Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    Taxing Property In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence From Mexico
    Type
    Journal Article
    Title
    Taxing Property In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence From Mexico
    Description
    Journal Articles
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Anne Brockmeyer IFS, UCL, World Bank & CEPR abrockmeyer@worldbank.org
    Alejandro Estefan University of Notre Dame mestefan@nd.edu
    Karina Ramírez Arras Secretaría de Hacienda karina_ramirez@hacienda.gob.mx
    Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato Stanford GSB & NBER jcsuarez@stanford.edu
    Date of production

    2026-06-04

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    Mexico MEX
    Keywords
    Property Taxation Tax Compliance Administrative Capacity Liquidity Constraints
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    H71 State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue H7 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H26 Tax Evasion and Avoidance H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    H21 Efficiency • Optimal Taxation H2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O23 Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development O2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    MIT License https://opensource.org/license/mit
    World Bank IGO Rider https://github.com/worldbank/metadata-editor/blob/main/WB-IGO-RIDER.md

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Anne Brockmeyer IFS, UCL, World Bank & CEPR abrockmeyer@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-06-04

    Document version

    604

    Citation

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