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Reproducibility package for Lives, Livelihoods, And Learning: A Global Perspective On The Well-Being Impacts Of The Covid-19 Pandemic

2026
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Reference ID
PP_WLD_2026_599
Author(s)
Jed Friedman, Nishant Yonzan, Benoit Decerf, Arthur Galego Mendes, Steven Michael Pennings
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Apr 01, 2026
Last modified
Apr 03, 2026
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  • Project Description
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  • Description
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  • Overview

    Abstract

    This study develops a common framework to compare the magnitude of national level losses that the COVID-19 pandemic inflicted across three critical dimensions – loss of life, loss of income, and loss of learning – and then explores the global distribution of such losses. To help inform public discussions, the well-being consequences of excess mortality are expressed in years of life lost, while those of income losses and school closures are expressed in additional person-years spent in poverty, either currently or in the future (due to lower growth). While 2020–21 witnessed a global drop in life expectancy and the largest one-year increase in global poverty in many decades, widespread school closures may cause almost twice as large an increase in future poverty. The estimates of well-being loss for the average global citizen include a loss of 8 days of life, an additional two and half weeks spent in poverty in 2020 and 2021 (17 days), and the possibility of an additional month of life in poverty in the future due to school closures (31 days). The distribution of pandemic costs was highly unequal globally. While aggregating total losses requires the valuation of a year of life lost vis-à-vis an additional year spent in poverty, high-income countries experienced the lowest well-being losses for a wide range of valuations. Aggregate losses were much higher among lower-income countries, especially countries in the Latin America region who suffered the largest mortality costs as well as large losses in learning and sharp increases in poverty.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/516/download/1499/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Lives, Livelihoods, And Learning: A Global Perspective On The Well-Being Impacts Of The Covid-19 Pandemic
    File name
    PP_WLD_2026_599
    Zip package
    PP_WLD_2026_599.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Lives, Livelihoods, And Learning: A Global Perspective On The Well-Being Impacts Of The Covid-19 Pandemic
    Date
    2026-03
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank. This reproducibility package corresponds to the journal article version of the paper. A separate reproducibility package for the working paper version is available and can be accessed here: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/116
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    19.0 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 5218 CPU @ 2.30GHz (2.30 GHz) (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 16.0 GB

    Technology requirements

    Run time: ~ 8 minutes

    Reproduction instructions

    Update the working directory in line 23 of "00-Master" do-file and run the code to reproduce the results.

    Data

    Datasets
    World Bank Income Classification
    Name
    World Bank Income Classification
    Note
    Dataset accessed in November 2023. File location: 02-InputData/CLASS_historical.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://github.com/GPID-WB/Class/tree/master/OutputData
    Citation
    World Bank. 2023. "World Bank Income Classification" [dataset]. https://github.com/GPID-WB/Class/tree/master/OutputData. Accessed November 2023.
    Estimates of Excess Mortality Associated With COVID-19 Pandemic
    Name
    Estimates of Excess Mortality Associated With COVID-19 Pandemic
    Note
    Data accessed in May 2022. File location: 02-InputData/Excess deaths WHO.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Intergovernmental Organization (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO)
    License URL
    https://www.who.int/about/policies/publishing/copyright
    Data URL
    https://www.who.int/data/sets/global-excess-deaths-associated-with-covid-19-modelled-estimates
    Citation
    World Health Organization. 2022. "Estimates of Excess Mortality Associated With COVID-19 Pandemic" [dataset]. https://www.who.int/data/sets/global-excess-deaths-associated-with-covid-19-modelled-estimates. Accessed May 2022.
    Binned Global Distribution
    Name
    Binned Global Distribution
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2023. Data was prepared using the do-files linked in the repository (https://github.com/worldbank/covid-impact-on-inequality-and-poverty/tree/main). Version: 20230919_2017_01_02_PROD. See additional details in the README. File location: 02-InputData/GlobalDist_1000bins_2019-2023_sep23.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/public-licenses?fragment=cc
    Citation
    Mahler, Daniel Gerszon; Yonzan, Nishant; Lakner, Christoph. 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Global Inequality and Poverty" [dataset]. Policy Research Working Paper 10198. World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/54fae299-8800-585f-9f18-a42514f8d83b.
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2023 and March 2026. See additional details in the README. File locations: 02-InputData/WDIEXCEL_extracted0923.csv; wbopendata_pop.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/
    Citation
    World Bank. 2023. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/. Accessed September 2023.
    World Economic Outlook
    Name
    World Economic Outlook
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2022. File location: 02-InputData/WEOOct2022all.xls.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/About/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2022/October/download-entire-database
    Citation
    IMF. 2022. "World Economic Outlook Database" [dataset]. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2022/October/download-entire-database. Accessed October 2022.
    Global Distribution of Income During COVID (Version September 2023)
    Name
    Global Distribution of Income During COVID (Version September 2023)
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2023. File location: 02-InputData/GlobalDist_1000bins_MYLseptember23_limitedvars.dta. PIP version 20230919_2017_01_02_PROD.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/public-licenses?fragment=cc
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0067062/global_distribution_of_income_during_covid_version_september_2023
    Citation
    Mahler, Daniel Gerszon; Yonzan, Nishant; Lakner, Christoph. 2022. "Global Distribution of Income During COVID" [dataset]. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 10198. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/38114.
    Growth Decomposition Inputs Dataset
    Name
    Growth Decomposition Inputs Dataset
    Note
    Authors' compilation assembled from multiple sources into a composite workbook. Sources by variable: (1) Labor share, initial capital-to-GDP ratio, depreciation rate, and TFP: Penn World Table 10.01 (https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/productivity/pwt/?lang=en); (2) Investment: World Economic Outlook, October 2022 (https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2022/10/11/world-economic-outlook-october-2022); (3) Years of school, quality, and LAYS: World Bank's Human Capital Project (https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/human-capital); (4) Agriculture share: National Accounts Data, UN Statistical Division (http://data.un.org/Explorer.aspx?d=SNAAMA); (5) Population data: UN World Population Prospects (https://population.un.org/wpp/); (6) GDP per capita and labor force participation: World Bank World Development Indicators (https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/); (7) School closures: UNESCO Global Monitoring of School Closures Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic (https://covid19.uis.unesco.org/global-monitoring-school-closures-covid19/). Files: 02-InputData/OUTPUT_default_nolinks_31March2023.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    Authors' compilation. 2026. Growth Decomposition Inputs Dataset [dataset]. Based on Penn World Table 10.01; World Economic Outlook (October 2022, IMF); World Bank Human Capital Project; Barro-Lee Educational Attainment Database; UN Statistical Division National Accounts Data; UN World Population Prospects; World Bank World Development Indicators; and UNESCO Global Monitoring of School Closures Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic.
    Global Monitoring of School Closures and Human Capital Index
    Name
    Global Monitoring of School Closures and Human Capital Index
    Note
    Authors' compilation using two indicators: (1) years of school closures during COVID-19, sourced from UNESCO's Global Monitoring of School Closures Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic (https://covid19.uis.unesco.org/global-monitoring-school-closures-covid19/); (2) quality of education, sourced from the World Bank's Human Capital Project (https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/human-capital). File location: 02-InputData/STATA_appF1.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://covid19.uis.unesco.org/global-monitoring-school-closures-covid19/
    Citation
    Authors' compilation. 2026. Global Monitoring of School Closures and Human Capital Index [dataset]. Based on UNESCO's Global Monitoring of School Closures Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic and the World Bank's Human Capital Project.
    World Population Prospects 2024
    Name
    World Population Prospects 2024
    Note
    Data accessed in April 2024. File location: 02-InputData/UN_LifeTables_2019.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO (CC BY 3.0 IGO)
    License URL
    https://www.un.org/en/about-us/terms-of-use
    Data URL
    https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Mortality/
    Citation
    United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. 2024. "World Population Prospects 2024" [dataset]. https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Mortality/. Accessed April 2024.
    Data statement

    All data sources are publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.

    Description

    Output
    Lives, Livelihoods, And Learning: A Global Perspective On The Well-Being Impacts Of The Covid-19 Pandemic
    Type
    Journal Article
    Title
    Lives, Livelihoods, And Learning: A Global Perspective On The Well-Being Impacts Of The Covid-19 Pandemic
    Description
    Journal Articles
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Jed Friedman World Bank jfriedman@worldbank.org
    Nishant Yonzan World Bank nyonzan@worldbank.org
    Benoit Decerf University of Namur benoit.decerf@unamur.be
    Arthur Galego Mendes World Bank agalegomendes@worldbank.org
    Steven Michael Pennings World Bank spennings@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2026-03-31

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD
    Keywords
    Covid-19 Welfare Poverty Mortality Learning
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    D63 Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement D6 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I15 Health and Economic Development I1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I31 General Welfare, Well-Being I3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I32 Measurement and Analysis of Poverty I3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I25 Education and Economic Development I2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Jed Friedman World Bank jfriedman@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-03-31

    Document version

    1

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