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Reproducibility package for Deterring Industrial Vessels From African Coastal Fisheries

2026
Reference ID
RR_AFR_2026_596
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/qxn8-7f96
Author(s)
Gabriel Englander, Aishwarya Agarwal
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Apr 07, 2026
Last modified
Apr 08, 2026
Page views
61
Downloads
26
  • Project Description
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  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
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  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    Can African countries deter industrial fishing vessels from near-shore waters reserved for artisanal fishers? Using radar data released in 2024, this paper provides the first causal evaluation of these Inshore Exclusion Zones (IEZs). Regression discontinuity estimates reveal deterrence in 6 of 20 African countries. Next, we apply bunching estimators to obtain counterfactual vessel distributions uncontaminated by spillovers outside IEZ boundaries. We capture extensive‑margin effects by calibrating a discrete choice vessel location model to our bunching estimates. Bioeconomic calculations indicate that IEZs increase artisanal fisher catch by enough to meet key micronutrient requirements for 7 million people.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/527/download/1533/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Deterring Industrial Vessels From African Coastal Fisheries
    File name
    RR_AFR_2026_596
    Zip package
    RR_AFR_2026_596.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Deterring Industrial Vessels From African Coastal Fisheries
    Date
    2026-04
    Dependencies
    R dependencies are listed in the file renv.lock.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    R
    Name
    R
    Version
    4.4.1

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: INTEL(R) XEON(R) PLATINUM 8562Y+ 2.80 GHz (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 128 GB

    Technology requirements

    Run time: ~ 5 days (Excluding the scripts bunching.R, bunching_bootstrap_3.R, and bunching_bootstrap_4.R); ~ 10 days (for the entire package).

    Reproduction instructions

    To reproduce the findings in this paper, a replicator must:

    1. Secure Access to Data: Access the datasets not included in the package. See subsection Datasets for more details.
    2. Download and Place Data: Once the data is accessed, users should place it in the appropriate folder.
    3. Run the Package: After placing the data in the folder:
      • Open the R project "iez_clone", and restore the environment by running the R script "Code/RUN THIS FIRST".
      • Run the following scripts in order: main_make_data, main_make_data_control, and main_analysis

    Since all the data is not included, the package includes the results produced by replicators. These files can be used to review the results presented in the paper.

    Data

    Datasets
    Inshore Exclusion Zones Boundaries
    Name
    Inshore Exclusion Zones Boundaries
    Note
    Authors' compilation based on Table 1 of Belhabib et al. (2020a). The IEZ boundaries reported in the paper were retained and, where applicable, modified to represent areas where all industrial fishing is prohibited. See Supplemental Appendix A for details on data transformation. File location: Data/IEZ_Boundary.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    Authors' compilation based on: Belhabib, D., Cheung, W. W. L., Kroodsma, D., Lam, V. W. Y., Underwood, P. J., & Virdin, J. (2020). Catching industrial fishing incursions into inshore waters of Africa from space. Fish and Fisheries, 21(2), 379–392. Data downloaded December 4, 2024.
    Industrial Vessels and Offshore Infrastructure Data
    Name
    Industrial Vessels and Offshore Infrastructure Data
    Note
    Data accessed in June 2024 from Paolo et al. (2024). Files: Data/SAR/industrial_vessels_v20240102.csv
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but not included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
    License URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/terms-of-use/
    Data URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-paper-industrial-activity-2024
    Citation
    Paolo, F. S., Kroodsma, D., Raynor, J., Hochberg, T., Davis, P., Cleary, J., Marsaglia, L., Orofino, S., Thomas, C., & Halpin, P. (2024). Satellite mapping reveals extensive industrial activity at sea. Nature, 625(7993), 85–91. https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-paper-industrial-activity-2024. Downloaded June 26, 2024.
    The Global Fishing Watch Anchorages Dataset
    Name
    The Global Fishing Watch Anchorages Dataset
    Note
    Data accessed in March 2025. File location: Data/named_anchorages_v2_20221206.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
    License URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/terms-of-use/
    Data URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-anchorages
    Citation
    Global Fishing Watch. (2023). Anchorages (Version 2). https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-anchorages. Downloaded March 26, 2025.
    Global Apparent Fishing Effort Dataset, Version 2.0
    Name
    Global Apparent Fishing Effort Dataset, Version 2.0
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2024. Files in folder: Data/fleet-daily-csvs-100/fleet-daily-csvs-100-v2-yyyy for years 2017–2020.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but not included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
    License URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/terms-of-use/
    Data URL
    https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-fishing-effort-v1-v2-archived
    Citation
    Global Fishing Watch. (2024). 2017–2020 Global Apparent Fishing Effort dataset (fleet-daily-csvs-100), Version 2.0. https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-fishing-effort-v1-v2-archived. Downloaded September 26, 2024.
    Global Apparent Fishing Effort Dataset, Version 3.0
    Name
    Global Apparent Fishing Effort Dataset, Version 3.0
    Note
    Data accessed in March 2025. Files in folder: Data/fleet-daily-csvs-100/fleet-daily-csvs-100-v3-2021.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but not included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
    Data URL
    https://zenodo.org/records/14982712
    Citation
    Global Fishing Watch. (2025). 2021 global apparent fishing effort dataset (fleet-daily-csvs-100), Version 3.0. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14982712. Downloaded March 19, 2025.
    MODIS-Aqua Sea Surface Temperature Data
    Name
    MODIS-Aqua Sea Surface Temperature Data
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2024. File locations: Data/sst; Data/sst_control.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Zero (CC0)
    License URL
    https://www.earthdata.nasa.gov/engage/open-data-services-software-policies/data-use-guidance
    Data URL
    https://www.earthdata.nasa.gov/data/catalog/pocloud-modis-aqua-l3-sst-thermal-daily-4km-daytime-v2019.0-2019.0#overview
    Citation
    NASA. (2019). MODIS-Aqua sea surface temperature data (Level 3, mapped, annual, 4 km, 11 μm daytime). NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Ocean Ecology Laboratory, Ocean Biology Processing Group. https://doi.org/10.5067/MODSA-1D4D9. Downloaded September 20, 2024.
    MODIS-Aqua Chlorophyll-a Data
    Name
    MODIS-Aqua Chlorophyll-a Data
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2024. File locations: Data/chl; Data/chl_control.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Zero (CC0)
    License URL
    https://www.earthdata.nasa.gov/engage/open-data-services-software-policies/data-use-guidance
    Data URL
    https://www.earthdata.nasa.gov/data/catalog/ob-cloud-modisa-l3m-chl-nrt-2022.0
    Citation
    NASA. (2014). MODIS-Aqua chlorophyll-a data (Level 3, mapped, annual, 4 km). NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Ocean Ecology Laboratory, Ocean Biology Processing Group. https://doi.org/10.5067/AQUA/MODIS_OC.2014.0. Downloaded September 20, 2024.
    ETOPO 2022 Global Relief Model
    Name
    ETOPO 2022 Global Relief Model
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2024. File locations: Data/exportImage.tiff; Data/Bedrock_60arcseconds_control.tif.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Zero 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication (CC0-1.0)
    License URL
    https://data.noaa.gov/metaview/page?xml=NOAA/NESDIS/NGDC/MGG/DEM//iso/xml/etopo_2022.xml&view=getDataView&header=none
    Data URL
    https://data.noaa.gov/metaview/page?xml=NOAA/NESDIS/NGDC/MGG/DEM//iso/xml/etopo_2022.xml&view=getDataView&header=none
    Citation
    NOAA. (2022). ETOPO 2022 global relief model (Bedrock, 30 arc-second resolution). NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. https://doi.org/10.25921/fd45-gt74. Downloaded September 16, 2024.
    Maritime Boundaries Geodatabase: Maritime Boundaries and Exclusive Economic Zones (200NM), Version 12
    Name
    Maritime Boundaries Geodatabase: Maritime Boundaries and Exclusive Economic Zones (200NM), Version 12
    Note
    Data accessed in August 2024. Files in folder: Data/World_EEZ_v12_20231025/.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.vliz.be/nl/imis?dasid=8394&doiid=911
    Data URL
    https://www.vliz.be/nl/imis?dasid=8394&doiid=911
    Citation
    Flanders Marine Institute. (2023). Maritime boundaries geodatabase: Maritime boundaries and exclusive economic zones (200NM), Version 12. https://doi.org/10.14284/632. Downloaded August 20, 2024.
    The Global Fishing Index: Data V1.1
    Name
    The Global Fishing Index: Data V1.1
    Note
    Data accessed in September 2024. File location: Data/Global Fishing Index 2021 Data for Download V1.1.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
    Data URL
    https://zenodo.org/records/14888827
    Citation
    Minderoo Foundation. (2021). The Global Fishing Index: Data V1.1. Perth, Western Australia. https://zenodo.org/records/14888827. Downloaded September 11, 2024.
    Africa Boundaries
    Name
    Africa Boundaries
    Note
    Data accessed in August 2024. Files in folder: Data/Africa_Boundaries-shp/.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Custom License
    License URL
    https://hub.arcgis.com/datasets/07610d73964e4d39ab62c4245d548625/explore?location=4.971007%2C41.248820%2C3
    Data URL
    https://hub.arcgis.com/datasets/07610d73964e4d39ab62c4245d548625/explore?location=4.971007%2C41.248820%2C3
    Citation
    Ruth, M. (2014). Africa Boundaries compiled from GADM (Database of Global Administrative Areas). https://hub.arcgis.com/datasets/07610d73964e4d39ab62c4245d548625. Downloaded August 20, 2024.
    World Bank Official Boundaries
    Name
    World Bank Official Boundaries
    Note
    Data accessed in February 2025. Files in folder: Data/WB_countries_Admin0_10m/.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/public-licenses?fragment=cc
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0038272/world-bank-official-boundaries
    Citation
    World Bank. (2024). World country polygons — very high definition. https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/search/dataset/0038272/world-bank-official-boundaries. Downloaded February 3, 2025.
    Worldwide Governance Indicators
    Name
    Worldwide Governance Indicators
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2024. File location: Data/wgidataset.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators
    Citation
    World Bank. (2024). Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2024 update. https://www.govindicators.org. Downloaded October 31, 2024.
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2024 and February 2025. Indicators accessed: Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL); GDP per capita (current US$). File locations: Data/d24b9ae7-b737-4a7a-9e88-47dbf552b49a_Data.csv; Data/API_NY.GDP.PCAP.CD_DS2_en_csv_v2_76317.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. Indicators accessed: Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL); GDP per capita (current US$). https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators. Accessed 2024 and 2025.
    Global Fishing Effort Database
    Name
    Global Fishing Effort Database
    Note
    Data accessed in February 2025. File location: Data/TotalEffortby_FGroup_EEZ_Sector.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    Data URL
    https://metadata.imas.utas.edu.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/1241a51d-c8c2-4432-aa68-3d2bae142794
    Citation
    Rousseau, Y., Blanchard, J., Novaglio, C., Kirsty, P., Tittensor, D., Watson, R., & Ye, Y. (2022). Global Fishing Effort [dataset]. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS), University of Tasmania (UTAS). https://doi.org/10.25959/MNGY-0Q43. Downloaded February 14, 2025.
    The Future of Food from the Sea Data
    Name
    The Future of Food from the Sea Data
    Note
    Data accessed in February 2025. File locations: Data/Unlumped_ProjectionData.csv; Data/Unlumped_ProjectionData_allyears.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    CC0 1.0 Universal
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    Data URL
    https://datadryad.org/dataset/doi:10.25349/D96G6H
    Citation
    Costello, C., Ovando, D., Clavelle, T., Strauss, C. K., Hilborn, R., Melnychuk, M. C., Branch, T. A., Gaines, S. D., Szuwalski, C. S., & Cabral, R. B. (2016). Global fishery prospects under contrasting management regimes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(18), 5125–5129. https://datadryad.org/dataset/doi:10.25349/D96G6H. Downloaded February 6, 2025.
    Sea Around Us – Exclusive Economic Zone Catch Data
    Name
    Sea Around Us – Exclusive Economic Zone Catch Data
    Note
    Data accessed in February 2025 via the Sea Around Us API. Contains marine catch reconstructions for five EEZs: EEZ 288 (Ghana), EEZ 430 and EEZ 566 (West African mainland), EEZ 478 (Mauritania), and EEZ 694 (West African mainland). File locations: Data/SAU EEZ 288 v50-1.csv; Data/SAU EEZ 430 v50-1.csv; Data/SAU EEZ 478 v50-1.csv; Data/SAU EEZ 566 v50-1.csv; Data/SAU EEZ 694 v50-1.csv. Data are accessible via the Sea Around Us API at https://api.seaaroundus.org/api/v1/eez/tonnage/taxon/ using the respective region IDs (288, 430, 478, 566, 694).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.seaaroundus.org/terms-and-conditions/
    Data URL
    https://www.seaaroundus.org/
    Citation
    (1) Belhabib, D., et al. (2020). Updating to 2018 the catch reconstructions for 14 countries of the West African mainland. Fisheries Centre Research Report, 28(5), pp. 115–147. (2) Kane, E. A., et al. (2020). Mauritania: Updated catch reconstruction for 2011–2018. Fisheries Centre Research Report, 28(5), pp. 60–64. (3) Polido, R., et al. (2020). Ghana: Updated catch reconstruction for 2011–2018. Fisheries Centre Research Report, 28(5), pp. 40–45. Pauly, D., Zeller, D., and Palomares, M.L.D. (Editors) (2020). Sea Around Us Concepts, Design and Data. www.seaaroundus.org. Downloaded February 14, 2025.
    Supplementary Data from: Virdin et al. (2023)
    Name
    Supplementary Data from: Virdin et al. (2023)
    Note
    Data accessed in October 2024. File location: Data/43016_2023_844_MOESM3_ESM.xlsx.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    Data URL
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-023-00844-4#data-availability
    Citation
    Virdin, J., Basurto, X., Nico, G., Harper, S., del Mar Mancha-Cisneros, M., Vannuccini, S., Ahern, M., Anderson, C. M., Funge-Smith, S., & Gutierrez, N. L. (2023). Fishing for subsistence constitutes a livelihood safety net for populations dependent on aquatic foods around the world. Nature Food, 4(10), 874–885. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00844-4. Downloaded October 31, 2024.
    100th Degree Overpass Data for Africa
    Name
    100th Degree Overpass Data for Africa
    Note
    Data shared directly by David Kroodsma of Global Fishing Watch with the authors in June 2024. Each file covers a year-month of overpass rasters at 1/100th of a degree resolution for Africa (bounding box: lat_min = -39, lat_max = 39, lon_min = -29, lon_max = 57). Overpasses represent the sum of Sentinel-2 satellite overpasses per grid cell. File locations: Data/100th degree overpass data/overpass_africa_100_yyyy_m.csv for years 2017–2021, all months.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but not included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/int/public-licenses?fragment=cc
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0067067/100th_degree_overpass_data
    Citation
    Paolo, F.S., Kroodsma, D., Raynor, J. et al. Satellite mapping reveals extensive industrial activity at sea. Nature 625, 85–91 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06825-8. Accessed June 26, 2024.
    Data statement

    All data sources are publicly available but not all are included in the reproducibility package due to file size constraints.

    Description

    Output
    Deterring Industrial Vessels From African Coastal Fisheries
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    Deterring Industrial Vessels From African Coastal Fisheries
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Gabriel Englander World Bank aenglander@worldbank.org
    Aishwarya Agarwal University of Texas at Austin aishwarya.agarwal@utexas.edu
    Date of production

    2026-04-03

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    Africa AFR
    Keywords
    African Natural Resources Management Industrial And Artisanal Fisheries Causal Inference
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    Q22 Fishery • Aquaculture Q2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q28 Government Policy Q2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O13 Agriculture • Natural Resources • Energy • Environment • Other Primary Products O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    C21 Cross-Sectional Models • Spatial Models • Treatment Effect Models • Quantile Regressions C2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O55 Africa O5 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Gabriel Englander World Bank aenglander@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-04-03

    Document version

    1

    Citation

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