Reproducibility package for Fiscal Policy, Poverty, and Inequality in a Constrained Environment: The Case of the West Bank and Gaza

This report analyzes the distributional impacts of the main taxes and transfers on households’ welfare in the West Bank and Gaza. The analysis uses the Commitment to Equity methodology, enabling us to compare results to other countries where this framework has been applied. Specifically, the report assesses the effects of government taxation, social expenditure, and indirect subsidies on poverty and inequality in the West Bank and Gaza. Results indicate that the combination of taxes and transfers modelled in the West Bank and Gaza reduces inequality by 6.5 Gini points but increases the national poverty headcount by 8.4 percentage points. These fiscal policy outcomes on poverty and inequality reduction are below average in terms of desirability compared to other lower middle-income countries.
The taxes and transfers modelled in the West Bank and Gaza achieve the most inequality reduction through in-kind benefits from public basic education and public hospitals, followed by the Cash Transfer Program and the Value-Added Tax (VAT). Their large impact on inequality reduction is explained by a combination of their progressivity and their size relative to household income. The redistributive effect of direct taxes, customs, and indirect subsidies is zero or close to zero. Indirect taxes represent the fiscal interventions contributing most to the increase in national poverty; custom duties followed by the VAT represent the largest burden on households’ incomes. Direct transfers from social protection cannot offset the impoverishment effect from indirect taxes because they have very limited coverage in the West Bank and Gaza. Only the poorest decile is a net cash beneficiary after paying taxes and receiving cashable transfers. The rest of the deciles are net payers to the fiscal system. To decrease poverty and inequality in the West Bank and Gaza, the most significant policy recommendation to emerge from the analysis is to expand direct transfers to deciles 2 and 3 to compensate for indirect tax burdens. Financing this reform is feasible through domestic tax mobilization or through rationalization of inefficient fuel and electricity subsidies that benefit the top-income deciles most.