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PRWP

Reproducibility package for The Exposure Of Workers To Artificial Intelligence In Low- And Middle-Income Countries

2025
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Reference ID
RR_WLD_2025_276
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/7qr1-am34
Author(s)
Jörg Langbein, Gabriel Demombynes, Michael Weber
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Mar 20, 2025
Last modified
Apr 03, 2025
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    Research on the labor market implications of artificial intelligence has focused principally on high-income countries. This paper analyzes this issue using microdata from a large set of low- and middle-income countries, applying a measure of potential artificial intelligence occupational exposure to a harmonized set of labor force surveys for 25 countries, covering a population of 3.5 billion people. The approach advances work by using harmonized microdata at the level of individual workers, which allows for a multivariate analysis of factors associated with exposure. Additionally, unlike earlier papers, the paper uses highly detailed (4 digit) occupation codes, which provide a more reliable mapping of artificial intelligence exposure to occupation. Results within countries, show that artificial intelligence exposure is higher for women, urban workers, and those with higher education. Exposure decreases by country income level, with high exposure for just 12 percent of workers in low-income countries and 15 percent of workers in lower-middle-income countries. Furthermore, lack of access to electricity limits effective exposure in low-income countries. These results suggest that for developing countries, and in particular low-income countries, the labor market impacts of artificial intelligence will be more limited than in high-income countries. While greater exposure to artificial intelligence indicates larger potential for future changes in certain occupations, it does not equate to job loss, as it could result in augmentation of worker productivity, automation of some tasks, or both.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/255/download/749/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for The Exposure Of Workers To Artificial Intelligence In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
    Title
    Reproducibility package for The Exposure Of Workers To Artificial Intelligence In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
    Date
    2025-03
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DIME) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    18.0 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise, version 23H2
    • Processor: 11th Gen Intel(R) Core(TM) i5-1145G7 @ 2.60GHz 1.50 GHz
    • Memory available: 15.7 GB
    • Software version: Stata 18.0 MP

    Technology requirements

    Runtime: 30 minutes.

    Reproduction instructions
    1. Secure access to data: Two datasets are only accessible to WB staff and consultants. External users cannot obtain the data necessary to run the code, and no portion of the code can run without the restricted datasets. See the README and the Datasets section for details.
    2. Download and place data: Once the data is obtained, users should place it in the appropriate folder.
    3. Run the code: After placing the data in the folder:
      • Open the do-file "Master"
      • Update the global path in line 10 to your folder's location
      • Run the do-file

    Since not all the data is included and accessible, the package includes the results produced by replicators in the Results folder. These files can be used to review the results presented in the paper.

    Data

    Datasets
    Global Labor Database (GLD)
    Name
    Global Labor Database (GLD)
    Note
    Source: World Bank. The Global Labor Database (GLD) includes various harmonized household surveys, accessible by World Bank staff, except for data for Egypt. The harmonization codes and survey documentation for all GLD surveys, both restricted and unrestricted access, are available online in this GitHub repository: https://github.com/worldbank/gld . All data files used from this dataset are listed on page 2 of the README. Data was accessed in February 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is not included in the reproducibility package. Access for WB staff and consultants is described in the data URL. There is no documented way to access the data for external users.
    Data URL
    https://worldbank.github.io/gld/README.html
    International Income Distribution Database (I2D2)
    Name
    International Income Distribution Database (I2D2)
    Note
    Source: World Bank. The I2D2 is a collection of harmonized household surveys managed by different units within the World Bank. All data files used from this dataset are listed on page 2 of the README. Data was accessed internally (through the World Bank). Data was accessed in September 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is not included in the reproducibility package. Data is internally available for WB staff and consultants using the tool datalibweb. There is no documented way to access the data for external users.
    International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) and Standard Classification of Occupations (SOC) Crosswalk
    Name
    International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) and Standard Classification of Occupations (SOC) Crosswalk
    Note
    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data file: "Excel/ISCO_SOC_Crosswalk.xls". Data was accessed in February 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.bls.gov/bls/linksite.htm
    Data URL
    https://www.bls.gov/soc/isco_soc_crosswalk.xls
    AI Occupational Exposure by Occupation from Felten et al. (2021)
    Name
    AI Occupational Exposure by Occupation from Felten et al. (2021)
    Note
    Source: "Occupational, Industry, and Geographic Exposure to Artificial Intelligence: A Novel Dataset and Its Potential Uses" by Felten, Raj, and Seamans (2021). The dataset is the data appendix A of this paper, manually imported into DTA file and saved with the name "SOCAIOE.dta". The paper can be found here: https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.3286. Data was accessed in March 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://github.com/AIOE-Data/AIOE
    Data statement

    Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    The Exposure Of Workers To Artificial Intelligence In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
    Type
    PRWP Working Paper
    Title
    The Exposure Of Workers To Artificial Intelligence In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP) 11057
    URL
    http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099629202052521198
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Jörg Langbein World Bank jlangbein@worldbank.org
    Gabriel Demombynes World Bank gdemombynes@worldbank.org
    Michael Weber World Bank and IZA mweber1@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2025-03-15

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD
    Keywords
    Jobs And Development Human Capital And Growth Digital Economy Strategy
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    J24 Human Capital • Skills • Occupational Choice • Labor Productivity J2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    J21 Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure J2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O33 Technological Change: Choices and Consequences • Diffusion Processes O3 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Jörg Langbein World Bank jlangbein@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DIME World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-03-15

    Document version

    1

    Citation

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