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PRWP

Reproducibility package for Fishing And Climate Change In Coastal Bangladesh: The Economic And Health Impacts Of Increasing Salinity

2025
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Reference ID
RR_BGD_2025_289
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/s9vh-3m91
Author(s)
Susmita Dasgupta, Brian Blankespoor, Mainul Huq, Zahirul Huque Khan, Md. Golam Mustafa, David Wheeler
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Apr 08, 2025
Last modified
Apr 14, 2025
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    The composition of flora and fauna in low-lying coastal regions worldwide is being altered by sea-level rise in a changing climate, favoring saline-tolerant species. These shifts are projected to have significant implications for nature-based livelihods, resource availability, market prices, and the food and nutrition security of coastal populations, particularly those with limited choices and affordability. The vulnerabilities arising from these changes underscore the critical need for adaptaton planning to build resilience. In the southwest coastal region of Bangladesh, rising sea levels and upstream changes in freshwater flux are intensifying riverine salinity, with annual flux dynamics driving substantial salinity changes and providig insights into future trends as high-salinity water encroaches further inland. In this study, river salinity monitor data were combined with fish sales records from nearby wholesale markets to evaluate the magnitude, spatial distribution, and fishig impact of salinity changes throughout 2023. Significant impacts on fish quantities were observed, and analysis of associated child health data revealed that salinity-related health challenges persist despite steady poverty reduction. Econometric aalysis of fish catch records demonstrated that salinity changes differentially affect the availability of fish species with varying salinity tolerances, reflecting the interplay of species-specific salinity aversion and fishers’ adaptive strategies o optimize profitable catches. These findings highlight the importance of complementing technical assessments of species-specific salinity tolerances with empirical salinity and catch data to improve projections of salinity impacts on fish consumptin in affected regions. The results provide actionable insights into the dynamic interactions between environmental change, ecological responses, and human adaptation in coastal settings.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/263/download/777/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Fishing And Climate Change In Coastal Bangladesh: The Economic And Health Impacts Of Increasing Salinity
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Fishing And Climate Change In Coastal Bangladesh: The Economic And Health Impacts Of Increasing Salinity
    Date
    2025-03
    Dependencies
    R dependencies are listed in the biod_bgdcoast_wp_global_libraries.R file. Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DIME) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    R
    Name
    R
    Version
    4.4.2
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    18.0 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 10 Enterprise, version 22H2
    • Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6132 CPU @ 2.60GHz 2.60 GHz (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 1 TB
    • Software version: Stata 18.0 MP, R 4.4.2

    Technology requirements

    The code takes approximately 10 minutes to run.

    Reproduction instructions

    To successfully replicate these figures, users must follow these steps:

    1. Open the wp.Rproj file
    2. From RStudio, open the "biod_bgdcoast_wp__main.R" file
    3. Update directory paths and Stata path in the script
    4. Run the script

    Data

    Datasets
    Fishing and Climate Change in Coastal Bangladesh The Economic and Health Impacts of Increasing Salinity: replication input files
    Name
    Fishing and Climate Change in Coastal Bangladesh The Economic and Health Impacts of Increasing Salinity: replication input files
    Note
    Datasets: Artisanal_Locations.shp, Bangladesh_River_Monitors.shp, Coilia dussumieri.shp, Lates calcarifer.shp, Mystus gulio.shp, Bangladesh_Market_Fish_Full_Reference.csv, Full Salinity Range.csv, Full_Catch_Record_With_Periods.csv, DHS_Salinity_Area_2000_2022.dta, DHS Analysis Changes.csv, Monthly Upazila Salinity.csv, Species IDs and Names.csv, Species_Price_Class.csv, Species Map Image Scores.dta, GBIF_Econometric_Species.csv, Bangladesh_River_Salinity_Data.csv Source: Authors
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0066821/Fishing-and-Climate-Change-in-Coastal-Bangladesh-The-Economic-and-Health-Impacts-of-Increasing-Salinity--replication-input-files
    World Bank Country Boundary Data
    Name
    World Bank Country Boundary Data
    Note
    Dataset: WB_countries_Admin0_10m.shp Source: World Bank
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en
    Data URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/world-bank-official-boundaries
    Data statement

    All data sources are publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.

    Description

    Output
    Fishing And Climate Change In Coastal Bangladesh: The Economic And Health Impacts Of Increasing Salinity
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    Fishing And Climate Change In Coastal Bangladesh: The Economic And Health Impacts Of Increasing Salinity
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    URL
    http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099015001272526956
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-11048
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Susmita Dasgupta World Bank sdasgupta@worldbank.org
    Brian Blankespoor World Bank bblankespoor@worldbank.org
    Mainul Huq World Bank
    Zahirul Huque Khan Institute of Water Modeling, Bangladesh
    Md. Golam Mustafa WorldFish
    David Wheeler World Bank dwheeler1@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2025-04-07

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    Bangladesh BGD
    Keywords
    Climate Change River Salinity Fishing Child Health Bangladesh
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    Q21 Demand and Supply • Prices Q2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q22 Fishery • Aquaculture Q2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q25 Water Q2 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q54 Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming Q5 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I14 Health and Inequality I1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Susmita Dasgupta World Bank sdasgupta@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DIME World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-04-07

    Document version

    1

    Citation

    Citation
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