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PRWP

[OLD VERSION] Reproducibility package for Timing Matters: Evidence On Forecast-Based Cash Transfers From Two Countries

2025
Get Reproducibility Package
Reference ID
RR_BGD_2025_385
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/zk5v-0v25
Author(s)
Paul Christian, Florence Kondylis, Erin Kelley, Gregory Lane, Jennifer Waidler, Felipe Dunsch, Jonas Heirman
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Sep 02, 2025
Last modified
Oct 21, 2025
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    [PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS REPRODUCIBILITY PACKAGE WAS UPDATED TO A NEW VERSION. THE UPDATED VERSION IS AVAILABLE AT THIS LINK: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/374]
    As increasingly frequent extreme weather events disrupt more and more lives, institutions are turning to early-warning systems to accelerate aid delivery. We present evidence from a randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh and Nepal testing whether providing cash within days of a flood leads to greater benefits than delivering the same assistance months later or if it simply shifts the timing of benefits without improving overall welfare. Results suggest that timely cash assistance leads to overall gains in food security and psychosocial well-being. This evidence supports efforts to forecast crises and release disaster relief quickly.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/320/download/975/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Timing Matters: Evidence On Forecast-Based Cash Transfers From Two Countries
    File name
    RR_BGD_2025_385
    Zip package
    RR_BGD_2025_385.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Timing Matters: Evidence On Forecast-Based Cash Transfers From Two Countries
    Date
    2025-08
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    18 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology requirements

    ~30 mins

    Reproduction instructions
    1. Obtain the data: Some of the datasets used for this reproducible package are forthcoming in the World Bank Microdata Library. Please see details in Section Datasets.
    2. Place the data in the correct folders: Once available and downloaded, place the files to their corresponding folders as outlined in the README.
    3. Adjust File Paths and Run Code: Update the paths in line 92 of do file "master do file"and run the do-file to reproduce the results.
      Since some data is currently not available, this reproducibility package includes the outputs generated by the reviewers in the reproducibility verification. They are in the "0utput" folder.

    Data

    Datasets
    World Food Programme Survey Data Nepal (2022) and Bangladesh (2024)
    Name
    World Food Programme Survey Data Nepal (2022) and Bangladesh (2024)
    Note
    Source: United Nations
    Access policy
    Data is forthcoming in the World Bank Microdata Library.
    Water level data - Nepal
    Name
    Water level data - Nepal
    Note
    Source: Nepal Department of Hydrology & Meteorology Filename: 280 chisapani staff gauge GOGI.csv
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://www.dhm.gov.np/
    Water level data - Bangladesh
    Name
    Water level data - Bangladesh
    Note
    Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre (FFWC), Bangladesh Water Development Board Filename: water_level.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://www.ffwc.gov.bd
    Data statement

    Some data is not yet publicly available but is expected to be made available through the World Bank Microdata Library in the future.

    Description

    Output
    Timing Matters: Evidence On Forecast-Based Cash Transfers From Two Countries
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    Timing Matters: Evidence On Forecast-Based Cash Transfers From Two Countries
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    License
    test
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Paul Christian World Bank pchristian@worldbank.org
    Florence Kondylis World Bank fkondylis@worldbank.org
    Erin Kelley University of Chicago erinmunrokelley@gmail.com
    Gregory Lane University of Chicago gvplane@gmail.com
    Jennifer Waidler World Food Programme jennifer.waidler@wfp.org
    Felipe Dunsch World Food Programme felipe.dunsch@wfp.org
    Jonas Heirman World Food Programme jonas.heirman@wfp.org
    Date of production

    2025-08-28

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    Bangladesh BGD
    Nepal NPL
    Keywords
    Forecasts Cash Transfers Climate Change
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    O13 Agriculture • Natural Resources • Energy • Environment • Other Primary Products O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q54 Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming Q5 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I15 Health and Economic Development I1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Paul Christian World Bank pchristian@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-08-28

    Document version

    1

    Citation

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