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Reproducibility package for Finance And Prosperity 2025

2025
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Reference ID
FR_WLD_2025_418
Author(s)
Diego M. Sourrouille
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Created on
Sep 23, 2025
Last modified
Dec 01, 2025
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  • Overview

    Abstract

    This second edition of the Finance and Prosperity report analyzes new data and highlights a growing divergence in financial sector resilience and stability among emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), addressing the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Finance Gap, and narrowing the Insurance Protection Gap for Natural Disasters.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/333/download/1164/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Finance And Prosperity 2025
    File name
    FR_WLD_2025_418
    Zip package
    FR_WLD_2025_418.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Finance And Prosperity 2025
    Date
    2025-09
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    18 MP
    Excel
    Name
    Excel
    Version
    Microsoft Excel for Microsoft 365 MSO

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise, version 24H2
    • Processor: Intel(R) Core(TM) Ultra 7 165U (2.10 GHz)
    • Memory available: 32 GB

    Technology requirements

    Runtime: 5 minutes

    Reproduction instructions
    1. Obtain Access to the Restricted Data: Most datasets are restricted and require special permissions. See the README for details on each dataset and how to request access. For most users, it will be very difficult to obtain all of the required data, as some datasets are confidential or require special approval processes.
    2. Place the Data in the Appropriate Folder: Update the file paths in the main do-file _codemaster.do to your local setup so they match the directory where the data is stored.
    3. Run the Main Do File: After updating the file paths, run the main do-file.

    Because obtaining access to all required datasets will be very difficult for most users, this reproducibility package includes the outputs generated by the replicators. These are stored in the following locations:

    • \Chapter 1\processed_data
    • \Chapter 2\processed_data
    • Data reproducibility - F&P Chapter 3.xlsx
      All additional details, including dataset descriptions and access instructions, are provided in the README file.

    Data

    Datasets
    Bloomberg Data
    Name
    Bloomberg Data
    Note
    Source: Bloomberg. Indicators consulted: Countries' EMBI, US 10-year Treasury yield, sovereign ratings (LT FC), and stock market capitalization (combined with WEO GDP). Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/embi_q_since2018.xlsx (accessed 2025-07-29); Data/01 Raw Data/bbg_corporates.dta (accessed 2025-03-01). Bloomberg inputs were also used for tabs in fig1_1b.xlsx (sovratings, stock market cap; accessed 2025-08-07 and 2025-08-11).
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.bloomberg.com/
    Citation
    Bloomberg. 2025. Bloomberg Financial Data [dataset]. https://www.bloomberg.com. Accessed 2025-03–2025-08.
    Fitch Solutions (Fitch Connect)
    Name
    Fitch Solutions (Fitch Connect)
    Note
    Source: Fitch Solutions (Fitch Connect). Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/2023.dta; Data/01 Raw Data/2024.dta; Data/02 Intermediate Data/db_credit_reserve_stress_Y2024v.dta; db_sover_reserve_stress_Y2024v.dta; db_credit_reserve_stress_Y2023v.dta; db_sover_reserve_stress_Y2023v.dta; fitchidcredity2; fitchidsovy2 (all accessed 2025-07-17). These files contain bank financials and derived stress metrics used for Fig. 1.6.
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.fitchsolutions.com/fitch-connect
    Citation
    Fitch Solutions. 2025. Fitch Connect Financials and Stress Metrics [dataset]. https://www.fitchsolutions.com/fitch-connect. Accessed 2025-07-17.
    International Financial Statistics
    Name
    International Financial Statistics
    Note
    Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2025. International Financial Statistics. Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/IFS_06-30-2025 18-24-26-07_timeSeries.csv (accessed 2025-06-30); Data/02 Intermediate Data/ifs_totalassetsbanks2023.dta (accessed 2025-06-30); Data/02 Intermediate Data/ifs_totalassetsbanks2024.dta (accessed 2025-06-30); Population data. Variables include: Other depository corporations’ data and total assets. A helper file built from IFS (parcial_ifs.dta) is provided to save processing time. IFS inputs were also used for tabs in fig1_1b.xlsx
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/About/copyright-and-terms#data
    Data URL
    https://legacydata.imf.org/?sk=4C514D48-B6BA-49ED-8AB9-52B0C1A0179B
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2025.. "International Financial Statistics [dataset]," https://legacydata.imf.org/?sk=4C514D48-B6BA-49ED-8AB9-52B0C1A0179B, 2025-06-30.
    World Economic Outlook
    Name
    World Economic Outlook
    Note
    Files/location: Data/02 Intermediate Data/weo_apr_2025.dta (accessed 2025-04-22). WEO GDP (NGDPD) was also used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tabs ‘public debt’, ‘stock market cap’) with access dates 2025-08-11 and 2025-08-14.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/About/copyright-and-terms#data
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2025/april
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2025. World Economic Outlook Database, April 2025 [dataset]. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2025/april. Accessed 2025-04-22 and 2025-08-11/14.
    Bank Regulation and Supervision Survey
    Name
    Bank Regulation and Supervision Survey
    Note
    Files location: Data/02 Intermediate Data/min_cap_requir_012024.dta (access year 2025). Content: minimum capital requirements, updated with collected data where possible.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/BRSS
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Bank Regulation and Supervision Survey [dataset]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/BRSS. Accessed 2025.
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Name
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Note
    Source: Author's elaboration with information from World Bank Country and Lending Groups. Files location: countrycodes.dta; AEEM.dta; ess_cncode_2023.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
    Data URL
    https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Country and Lending Groups [dataset]. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups. Accessed 2025.
    FinStats Database 2025
    Name
    FinStats Database 2025
    Note
    Source: Authors elaboration with information from World Bank. Contains information of income groups medians of insurance, pension funds and mutual fund assets as percentage of GDP.
    Access policy
    Data access requires human approval and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. FinStats Database 2025 [dataset]. (Internal dataset; no public link available.)
    Macro Poverty Outlook
    Name
    Macro Poverty Outlook
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Macro Poverty Outlook. Used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tab ‘ext debt service’; accessed 2025-08-07). Variable: External Debt Interest Payments, LCU, % of GDP.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/macro-poverty-outlook#sec4
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Macro Poverty Outlook [dataset]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/macro-poverty-outlook#sec4. Accessed 2025-08-07.
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tab ‘ext debt service’; accessed 2025-08-07). Variable: External Debt Interest Payments, LCU, % of GDP.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
    Data URL
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. World Development Indicators [dataset]. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators. Accessed 2025-08-07
    Classification of Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations
    Name
    Classification of Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tab ‘fragility’; accessed 2025-08-14). Description: share of countries classified as conflict or institutional fragility by risk bracket.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/fragilityconflictviolence/brief/harmonized-list-of-fragile-situations
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Harmonized List of Fragile Situations [dataset]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/fragilityconflictviolence/brief/harmonized-list-of-fragile-situations. Accessed 2025-08-14.
    Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative Country Index
    Name
    Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative Country Index
    Note
    Used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tab ‘gain’; accessed 2025-08-14). Content: ND-GAIN scores (higher is better).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://gain.nd.edu/our-work/country-index/
    Citation
    Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN). 2025. ND-GAIN Country Index [dataset]. https://gain.nd.edu/our-work/country-index/. Accessed 2025-08-14.
    Enterprise Surveys
    Name
    Enterprise Surveys
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/Biggest Obstacle.xlsx (accessed 2025-08-19); Data/01 Raw Data/Collapsed Table-2025 5-6-2025.dta (accessed 2025-05-06). Derived/reshaped files: Data/02 Intermediate Data/numberoffirms.dta (built from ES collapsed tables).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but does not allow redistribution, and it is not included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.enterprisesurveys.org/en/data
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Enterprise Surveys [dataset]. https://www.enterprisesurveys.org/en/data. Accessed 2025-05–2025-08.
    PitchBook
    Name
    PitchBook
    Note
    Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/Pitchbook Data_June 10 2025.xlsx (accessed 2025-06-10); Data/02 Intermediate Data/vc_allocation_by_firm_size.xlsx (accessed 2025-05-23); Data/02 Intermediate Data/kinvested.dta (derived capital invested by country/category). Helper mapping: pitch_cncode.dta. These files underpin Figs. 2.6–2.8.
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://pitchbook.com/terms-of-use
    Data URL
    https://pitchbook.com/
    Citation
    PitchBook. 2025. PitchBook Venture Capital and Private Equity Data [dataset]. https://pitchbook.com. Accessed 2025-05–2025-06.
    2023 Business Dynamics Statistics Data Tables
    Name
    2023 Business Dynamics Statistics Data Tables
    Note
    Source: US Census. Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/BDSTIMESERIES.BDSFAGEFSIZE-Data 1.xlsx (accessed 2025-06-10). Derived file: Data/02 Intermediate Data/usfirms.dta (reshaped to study categories).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/econ/bds/bds-tables.html
    Citation
    U.S. Census Bureau. 2025. Business Dynamics Statistics (2023 release) [dataset]. https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/econ/bds/bds-tables.html. Accessed 2025-06-10.
    Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Finance Gap
    Name
    Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Finance Gap
    Note
    Source: International Monetary Fund (forthcoming). Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/Graphs - FCI input.xlsx. Expected publication: Q3 FY2026 (Jan–Feb 2026 tentative). Figures affected: 2.3, 2.4. Pre-publication data shared under restrictions; not included in the public reproducibility package.
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund. Forthcoming 2026. MSME Finance Gap Dataset [dataset]. (Pre-publication restricted data shared by IMF).
    World Bank Staff Assessment
    Name
    World Bank Staff Assessment
    Note
    Files location: Data/01 Raw Data/fig1_1a.xlsx; fig1_1c.xlsx; fig1_7.xlsx; fig1_8.xlsx; figB1_2.xlsx; figB1_3.xlsx (survey period: March–May 2025). Please also see: raw data folder document “Format of Survey for fig 1_1, 1_2, 1_8, 1_9, B1_2, B1_4.docx. Only aggregated survey results, as shown in the figures, are included in the package; raw survey inputs are not publicly available.
    Access policy
    Aggregated data is included in the reproducibility package
    Citation
    World Bank Staff. 2025. Internal Staff Assessment Survey Data (aggregated) [dataset]. (Internal dataset; survey conducted March–May 2025.)
    The State of Commodity Dependence
    Name
    The State of Commodity Dependence
    Note
    Source: UN Trade and Development. Used in fig1_1b.xlsx (tab ‘ext debt service’; accessed 2025-08-14).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://unctad.org/topic/commodities/state-of-commodity-dependence
    Citation
    UNCTAD. 2025. State of Commodity Dependence [dataset]. https://unctad.org/topic/commodities/state-of-commodity-dependence. Accessed 2025-08-14.
    Global Insurance Market Report
    Name
    Global Insurance Market Report
    Note
    Source: International Association of Insurance Supervisors. accessed 2025-04.
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.iais.org/uploads/2024/12/Global-Insurance-Market-Report-2024.pdf
    Citation
    International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS). 2024. Global Insurance Market Report 2024 [dataset]. https://www.iais.org. Accessed 2025-04.
    Balance sheet and income statement of insurance companies
    Name
    Balance sheet and income statement of insurance companies
    Note
    Source: OECD Data Explorer. accessed 2025-05-21.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License
    OECD Terms & Conditions
    License URL
    https://www.oecd.org/en/about/terms-conditions.html
    Data URL
    https://data-explorer.oecd.org/vis?lc=en&df[ds]=dsDisseminateFinalDMZ&df[id]=DSD_INS%40DF_BSI&df[ag]=OECD.DAF.CM&df[vs]=1.0&dq=.A.CLM%2BASS.USD..._T..DIR......&pd=2013%2C2023&to[TIME_PERIOD]=false&vw=tb
    Citation
    OECD. 2025. Balance Sheet and Income Statement of Insurance Companies [dataset]. https://data-explorer.oecd.org. Accessed 2025-05-21.
    Axco Portal Data
    Name
    Axco Portal Data
    Note
    Source: Axco Portal. Indicator consulted: Average non-life penetration unweighted by income groups. Specific instructions on how to download the data are included in the reproducibility package. Accessed 2025-06.
    Access policy
    Data is restricted and not included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://axco.co.uk/SSO?previous=/Portal
    Citation
    Axco. 2025. Insurance Market Intelligence Data [dataset]. https://axco.co.uk. Accessed 2025-06.
    Financial Access Survey
    Name
    Financial Access Survey
    Note
    Source: International Monetary Fund
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/external/terms.htm
    Data URL
    https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:FAS
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund. 2025. Financial Access Survey (FAS) [dataset]. https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:FAS. Accessed April 2025.
    INFORM RISK
    Name
    INFORM RISK
    Note
    Source: European Commission Accessed 2025-04.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/inform-index/
    Citation
    European Commission JRC. 2025. INFORM Risk Index [dataset]. https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/inform-index/. Accessed 2025-04.
    Exposed and Vulnerable Population Data
    Name
    Exposed and Vulnerable Population Data
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Indicator: Share of population that is exposed and vulnerable to climate-related hazards. Figure ES.1.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/rising-to-the-challenge-climate-adaptation-resilience#data
    Citation
    World Bank. 2025. Exposed and Vulnerable Population to Climate Hazards [dataset]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/rising-to-the-challenge-climate-adaptation-resilience#data. Accessed 2025.
    Protection Gap Data
    Name
    Protection Gap Data
    Note
    Source: Swiss Re. Data was manually copied by the authors from the link below. The detailed process is explained in the README file. Accessed 2025-06.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package
    Data URL
    https://www.swissre.com/risk-knowledge/mitigating-climate-risk/natcat-protection-gap-infographic.html#/
    Citation
    Swiss Re. 2025. Natural Catastrophe Protection Gap Data [dataset]. https://www.swissre.com. Accessed 2025-06
    Data statement

    Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    Finance And Prosperity 2025
    Type
    Flagship or other report
    Title
    Finance And Prosperity 2025
    Description
    World Bank Reports & Flagships
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Diego M. Sourrouille World Bank dsourrouille@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2025-09-23

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Diego M. Sourrouille World Bank dsourrouille@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-09-23

    Document version

    1

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