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PRWP

Reproducibility package for Fast Action for Floods: RCT Evidence on Forecast-based Cash Transfers from Bangladesh and Nepal

2025
Get Reproducibility Package
Reference ID
RR_BGD_2025_385v2
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/4vhs-y802
Author(s)
Paul Christian, Florence Kondylis, Erin Kelley, Gregory Lane, Jennifer Waidler, Felipe Dunsch, Jonas Heirman, Nidhila Adusumalli, Kriti Malhotra, Odbayar Batmunkh
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Oct 17, 2025
Last modified
Oct 21, 2025
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    As increasingly frequent extreme weather events disrupt more and more lives, institutions are turning to early-warning systems to accelerate aid delivery. We present evidence from a randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh and Nepal testing whether providing cash within days of a flood leads to greater benefits than delivering the same assistance months later or if it simply shifts the timing of benefits without improving overall welfare. Results suggest that timely cash assistance leads to overall gains in food security and psychosocial well-being. This evidence supports efforts to forecast crises and release disaster relief quickly.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/374/download/1062/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Fast Action for Floods: RCT Evidence on Forecast-based Cash Transfers from Bangladesh and Nepal
    File name
    RR_BGD_2025_385v2
    Zip package
    RR_BGD_2025_385v2.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Fast Action for Floods: RCT Evidence on Forecast-based Cash Transfers from Bangladesh and Nepal
    Date
    2025-08
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    18 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology requirements

    ~30 mins

    Reproduction instructions
    1. Obtain the data: Some of the datasets used for this reproducible package are licensed and need to be requested and downloaded from the World Bank Microdata Library. Please see details in Section Datasets.
    2. Place the data in the correct folders: Once available and downloaded, place the files to their corresponding folders as outlined in the data_hash_report.csv
    3. Adjust File Paths and Run Code: Update the paths in line 92 of do file master do file.do and run the do-file to reproduce the results.

    Data

    Datasets
    Bangladesh - Forecast Based Anticipatory Action Impact Evaluation (2024)
    Name
    Bangladesh - Forecast Based Anticipatory Action Impact Evaluation (2024)
    Note
    Source: World Food Program
    Access policy
    Data access requires human approval and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Licensed files
    License URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/terms-of-use#licensed
    Data URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/8009
    Nepal - Forecast Based Anticipatory Action Impact Evaluation (2024)
    Name
    Nepal - Forecast Based Anticipatory Action Impact Evaluation (2024)
    Note
    Source: World Food Program
    Access policy
    Data access requires human approval and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Licensed files
    License URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/terms-of-use#licensed
    Data URL
    https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/8010
    Water level data - Nepal
    Name
    Water level data - Nepal
    Note
    Source: Nepal Department of Hydrology & Meteorology Filename: 280 chisapani staff gauge GOGI.csv
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://www.dhm.gov.np/
    Water level data - Bangladesh
    Name
    Water level data - Bangladesh
    Note
    Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre (FFWC), Bangladesh Water Development Board Filename: water_level.dta
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://www.ffwc.gov.bd
    Data statement

    Some data is licensed and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    Fast Action for Floods: RCT Evidence on Forecast-based Cash Transfers from Bangladesh and Nepal
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    Fast Action for Floods: RCT Evidence on Forecast-based Cash Transfers from Bangladesh and Nepal
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Paul Christian World Bank pchristian@worldbank.org
    Florence Kondylis World Bank fkondylis@worldbank.org
    Erin Kelley University of Chicago erinmunrokelley@gmail.com
    Gregory Lane University of Chicago gvplane@gmail.com
    Jennifer Waidler World Food Programme Office of Evaluation jennifer.waidler@wfp.org
    Felipe Dunsch World Food Programme felipe.dunsch@wfp.org
    Jonas Heirman World Food Programme Office of Evaluation jonas.heirman@wfp.org
    Nidhila Adusumalli World Food Programme Office of Evaluation nidhila.adusumalli@wfp.org 
    Kriti Malhotra World Food Programme Office of Evaluation kritimalhotra2013@gmail.com
    Odbayar Batmunkh World Bank obatmunkh@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2025-08-28

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    Bangladesh BGD
    Nepal NPL
    Keywords
    Forecasts Cash Transfers Climate Change
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    O13 Agriculture • Natural Resources • Energy • Environment • Other Primary Products O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q54 Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming Q5 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    I15 Health and Economic Development I1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Paul Christian World Bank pchristian@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-08-28

    Document version

    1

    Citation

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