The labor market is undergoing major changes driven by technological, economic, and demographic factors. Climate change and climate action are contributing to these shifts, driving growth in some sectors while causing decline in others. In the context of the green transition, the overall impact on employment is expected to be neutral or net positive. However, labor market frictions can hinder workers from transitioning out of declining sectors or into growing ones, posing significant development challenges. These bottlenecks can slow down the pace of the green transition and lead to adverse outcomes for workers who are unable to find suitable alternative employment, resulting in negative impacts at both micro and macroeconomic levels. This paper proposes a framework that classifies labor market frictions along five dimensions: what workers do, where workers are, when workers are available, who workers are, and why people work. Frictions arise when there is a misalignment between labor supply and labor demand in any of these dimensions. Within the framework, these misalignments are categorized as skill-, spatial-, temporal-, norm-, or preference-related mismatches, respectively. Drawing on insights from World Bank analyses, the paper further identifies potential solutions to address each friction, providing guidance for policymakers to facilitate smoother workforce transitions and maximize macroeconomic benefits from the green transition. Although developed in the context of the green transition, the framework can be generalized to other economic shocks and transformations.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise, version 24H2
• Processor: Intel(R) Core(TM) Ultra 7 165U (2.10 GHz)
• Memory available: 32 GB
Runtime: Approximately 2 minutes.
Access to some of the datasets used in this reproducibility package is restricted. Please see details in the README.
Because reviewers did not have access to the restricted data, only Figure 9 was verified. Figures 6 and 10 could not be verified due to these data limitations; however, the code to generate them is included in the package.
As the restricted data are not accessible, this reproducibility package includes the outputs for Figure 9 generated by the reviewers during verification. These are located in the “Out” folder.
Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Camilla Knudsen | World Bank | cknudsen@worldbank.org |
| Fernanda Senra de Moura | World Bank; University of Oxford | fmoura@worldbank.org |
| Joris Bücker | World Bank; University of Oxford | jbucker@worldbank.org |
| Penny Mealy | World Bank | pmealy@worldbank.org |
2025-10-27
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| World | WLD |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| Modified BSD3 | https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/ |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Camilla Knudsen | World Bank | cknudsen@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
2025-10-27
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