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PRWP

Reproducibility package for Assessing The Impact Of Renewable Versus Fossil Fuels Energy On Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis Of The Elasticity Across Development Stages

2026
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Reference ID
RR_WLD_2026_659
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/sag9-nb44
Author(s)
Maria Vagliasindi, Nisan Gorgulu
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Jun 17, 2026
Last modified
Jun 17, 2026
Page views
25
Downloads
4
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    This study makes a significant contribution to the expanding body of literature on the energy-growth nexus, distinguishing itself in two important ways. First, this is the first meta-analysis that systematically compares the economic growth impacts of renewable versus non-renewable energy sources, instead of relying on aggregate energy indicators. Second, it explicitly explores the heterogeneity of these effects in the context of developing countries. These elasticities exhibit notable non-linearity, following a U-shaped pattern across stages of development. In low-income countries, the relatively higher elasticity for both energy types likely reflects the critical need to expand access, regardless of the source. As countries move up the income ladder, the elasticity of renewables tends to decline, potentially reflecting short-term frictions and adjustments associated with the integration of intermittent sources, and comes to a plateau for high income countries. In contrast, fossil fuels may remain essential in higher-income contexts for supporting grid stability and storage as renewable energy becomes more integrated. The findings underscore the need for customized energy policies that correspond with each country's economic development stage. In low-income countries, policies should focus on expanding access to affordable and reliable energy sources. For developed economies, policies should aim to encourage innovations in clean energy technologies, also to support technology transfer to developing countries, assisting them in sustainably meeting their energy requirements for economic growth.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/581/download/1724/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Assessing The Impact Of Renewable Versus Fossil Fuels Energy On Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis Of The Elasticity Across Development Stages
    File name
    RR_WLD_2026_659
    Zip package
    RR_WLD_2026_659.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Assessing The Impact Of Renewable Versus Fossil Fuels Energy On Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis Of The Elasticity Across Development Stages
    Date
    2026-05
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder. Python dependencies are listed in the "environment.yml" file.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    19.5 MP
    Python
    Name
    Python
    Version
    3.13
    Excel
    Name
    Excel

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 5218 CPU @ 2.30GHz (2.30 GHz) (2 processors)
    • Memory available: 8.15 GB
    • Software version: Stata 19.5 MP

    Technology requirements

    Run time: ~1 minute.

    Reproduction instructions

    To reproduce the findings in this paper, a replicator must:

    1. Run the Package:
    • Update the working directory in line 16 of the do-file MainStata_EnergyMeta, and run it.
    • Restore the environment using environment.yml and run MainPython_Energy_WordCloud.ipynb.
    • Figures 6, 7 and 8 are constructed in Microsoft Excel using summary statistics produced by do-file MainStata_EnergyMeta. For more details, refer to the README file.

    Data

    Datasets
    Assessing the Impact of Renewable versus Fossil Fuels Energy on Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis of the Elasticity across Development Stages
    Name
    Assessing the Impact of Renewable versus Fossil Fuels Energy on Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis of the Elasticity across Development Stages
    Note
    Filename: EnergyROR_MetaAnalysis_final.dta. The dataset was constructed manually by the authors following the data collection criteria and methodology described in Section 2 of the paper. It consists of 1,290 observations extracted from 130 studies, of which 888 are elasticity estimates drawn from 110 studies, covering publications from 2008 to 2025. Replicators wishing to access the underlying published studies should consult journal websites, institutional repositories, or open-access archives, as individual papers are subject to copyright restrictions. Additionally, EnergyROR_forWordCloud_final.csv lists paper titles compiled manually for word cloud analysis (Figure 1).
    Access policy
    Data is included in the reproducibility package.
    Citation
    Authors' compilation. 2026. Assessing the Impact of Renewable versus Fossil Fuels Energy on Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis of the Elasticity across Development Stages [dataset].
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Filename: API_NY.GDP.PCAP.CD_DS2_en_excel_v2_282967.xlsx. Indicator used: GDP per capita (current US$). This data is used to construct Figures 6, 7 and 8. For more details, refer to the README file.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    Data URL
    https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
    Citation
    World Bank. 2026. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. Indicator accessed: GDP per capita (current US$). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Accessed May, 2026.
    Data statement

    All data sources are publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.

    Description

    Output
    Assessing The Impact Of Renewable Versus Fossil Fuels Energy On Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis Of The Elasticity Across Development Stages
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    Assessing The Impact Of Renewable Versus Fossil Fuels Energy On Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis Of The Elasticity Across Development Stages
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Maria Vagliasindi World Bank mvagliasindi@worldbank.org
    Nisan Gorgulu World Bank ngorgulu@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2026-05-20

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD
    Keywords
    Energy-Growth Nexus Renewable Energy Fossil Fuels Economic Growth Meta-Analysis Energy Access Fuel Mix
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    C83 Survey Methods • Sampling Methods C8 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O13 Agriculture • Natural Resources • Energy • Environment • Other Primary Products O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q40 General Q4 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q42 Alternative Energy Sources Q4 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    Q43 Energy and the Macroeconomy Q4 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    MIT License https://opensource.org/license/mit
    World Bank IGO Rider https://github.com/worldbank/metadata-editor/blob/main/WB-IGO-RIDER.md

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Maria Vagliasindi World Bank mvagliasindi@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-05-20

    Document version

    1

    Citation

    Citation
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