Markets and public institutions must anticipate evolving care demand driven by East Asia and the Pacific’s rapid demographic transition. To this end, we develop the Care Simulation Model, a demographic model that estimates gaps in child- and eldercare needs by integrating life-cycle care needs with the availability of intergenerational family caregivers. The model quantifies unmet care needs and translates them into estimates of potential market size and employment creation in childcare and eldercare. By 2030, unmet need across 21 EAP countries corresponds to 19.9 million potential jobs in childcare and 34.1 million in eldercare. The framework provides a transparent, cross-country tool to inform care policy, workforce planning, and investment strategies.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
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| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Halim | World Bank | dhalim@worldbank.org |
| Aaditya Mattoo | World Bank | amattoo@worldbank.org |
| Nadia Esham | World Bank | nesham@worldbank.org |
2026-06-22
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| Asia | ASI |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| MIT License | https://opensource.org/license/mit |
| World Bank IGO Rider | https://github.com/worldbank/metadata-editor/blob/main/WB-IGO-RIDER.md |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Halim | World Bank | dhalim@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
2026-06-22
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