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Reproducibility package for "Many Chinas": Provincial Foundations of Chinese Export Performance

2026
Reference ID
RR_CHN_2026_752
Author(s)
Alessandro Barattieri, Jessica Yang Chen, Bingjing Li, Aaditya Mattoo
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Nov 04, 2026
Last modified
Nov 04, 2026
Page views
22
Downloads
13
  • Project Description
  • Downloads
  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Overview

    Abstract

    China’s export performance is characterized by two striking features: a steady rise in export sophistication and the continued prominence of less sophisticated products. This paper proposes the “Many Chinas” hypothesis, that China's provinces differ in their comparative advantage and in how this comparative advantage has evolved over time. Using detailed Chinese customs export data from 1995 to 2023, this paper investigates the provincial underpinnings of China's export performance. Three main findings emerge. First, export similarity between Chinese provinces and the advanced economies increased over time, initially more rapidly in the eastern provinces. Second, despite this increased export similarity with the advanced countries, there remained significant heterogeneity across provinces in 2023. In their export structure, provinces such as Shanghai and Jiangsu resemble most closely the Republic of Korea while Guangdong and Shanxi resemble Viet Nam and the Philippines, respectively. Third, this paper identifies a novel pattern: during the first decade after China's World Trade Organization accession in 2001, the export sophistication of the country's eastern provinces increased much faster than that of other provinces, but since about 2010, there has been remarkable convergence in sophistication across all provinces.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/catalog/686/download/2073/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for "Many Chinas": Provincial Foundations of Chinese Export Performance
    File name
    RR_CHN_2026_752
    Zip package
    RR_CHN_2026_752.zip
    Title
    Reproducibility package for "Many Chinas": Provincial Foundations of Chinese Export Performance
    Date
    2026-09
    Dependencies
    Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder. Python dependencies are listed in the "environment.yml" file.
    Instructions
    See README in reproducibility package.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DECDI) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    19.5 MP
    Python
    Name
    Python
    Version
    3.11.16

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:

    • OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
    • Processor: INTEL(R) XEON(R) PLATINUM 8562Y+ 2.80 GHz (2 processors)
    • Memory: 32 GB
    Technology requirements

    Run time: ~30 minutes

    Reproduction instructions

    To reproduce the findings in this paper, a replicator must:

    1. Secure Access to Data: Access the datasets not included in the package. See the Datasets section for more details.
    2. Run the Package: Update the working directory in lines 17 and 35 of the do-file 00_master, and run it.

    Since not all the data is included, the package includes the results produced by replicators. These files can be used to review the results presented in the paper.

    Data

    Datasets
    Chinese Provincial Customs Export Data (1995-2023)
    Name
    Chinese Provincial Customs Export Data (1995-2023)
    Note
    File location: Data\Export_CHN. For data access requests, please contact Alessandro Barattieri (abarattieri@worldbank.org).
    Access policy
    Data access was granted directly to the study authors by the data owners/managers. It was obtained with a custom data license that does not allow for redistribution and it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Custom license
    Citation
    General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China (GACC). "Chinese Provincial Customs Export Data (1995-2023)" [dataset]. Unpublished. Accessed January 2026.
    Database for the Analysis of International Trade (BACI): HS92 (1995-2024), 202601 version
    Name
    Database for the Analysis of International Trade (BACI): HS92 (1995-2024), 202601 version
    Note
    File location: Data/Export_ROW/BACI_HS92_V202601/. Additional citation: Gaulier, G. and S. Zignago (2010), "BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version," CEPII Working Paper, N°2010-23.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Etalab Open Licence 2.0
    License URL
    https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf
    Data URL
    https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip
    Citation
    Centre d'Études Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales (CEPII). "Database for the Analysis of International Trade (BACI): HS92 (1995-2024), 202601 version" [dataset]. http://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37. Accessed January 2026.
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS) Reference Data
    Name
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS) Reference Data
    Note
    File location: Data/Product_data/WITS/product_tech_hs6.dta and Data/Concordance/. The file product_tech_hs6.dta is constructed by the authors, the process is outlines in the README. Data/Concordance contains concordance tables that convert various HS revisions to HS92.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY 4.0) with additional terms of use specified in the license URL
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/legal/terms-conditions
    Data URL
    https://wits.worldbank.org/referencedata.html
    Citation
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS), World Bank ."World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS) Reference Data" [dataset]. https://wits.worldbank.org/referencedata.html. Accessed March 2026.
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    File location: Data/Macro_data/. Filenames: wb_pgdp.csv, wb_pgdp_long.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD
    Citation
    World Bank. "World Development Indicators" [dataset]. Indicator accessed: GDP per capita. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators. Accessed April 2026.
    Classifications on economic statistics: All HS codes and descriptions
    Name
    Classifications on economic statistics: All HS codes and descriptions
    Note
    Filename: Data\Product_data\HSCodeandDescription_HS92_hs6.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but does not allow redistribution and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    UN Terms of Use
    License URL
    https://www.un.org/en/about-us/terms-of-use
    Data URL
    https://unstats.un.org/unsd/classifications/Econ/download/In%20Text/HSCodeandDescription.xlsx
    Citation
    United Nations Statistical Division (UNSD). "Classifications on economic statistics: All HS codes and descriptions" [dataset]. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/classifications/Econ/download/In%20Text/HSCodeandDescription.xlsx. Accessed March 2026.
    China: Provincial GDP Data
    Name
    China: Provincial GDP Data
    Note
    File location: Data/Macro_data/. Filenames: china_prov_pgdp.csv, china_prov_gdp.csv, china_prov_pgdp_long.dta, prov_code.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    National Bureau of Statistics Terms of Service
    License URL
    https://www.stats.gov.cn/wzgl/202302/t20230217_1912857.html
    Data URL
    https://data.stats.gov.cn/dg/website/page.html#/pc/national/yearData
    Citation
    National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC). "China: Provincial GDP Data" [dataset]. https://data.stats.gov.cn/dg/website/page.html#/pc/national/yearData. Accessed August 2026.
    Chinese Yuan Renminbi to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate [AEXCHUS]
    Name
    Chinese Yuan Renminbi to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate [AEXCHUS]
    Note
    Filename: Data/Macro_data/AEXCHUS.csv.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but does not allow redistribution and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    FRED® Services Terms of Use FAQ
    License URL
    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/
    Data URL
    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AEXCHUS
    Citation
    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US). "Chinese Yuan Renminbi to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate [AEXCHUS]" [dataset]. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AEXCHUS. Accessed May 2026.
    World Economic Outlook Database: Country Classification
    Name
    World Economic Outlook Database: Country Classification
    Note
    File location: Data/Macro_data/. Filename: country_classification.dta, imf_classification.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    IMF Copyright and Usage
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/about/copyright-and-terms
    Data URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/weo-database/2023/april/groups-and-aggregates
    Citation
    International Monetary Fund (IMF). "World Economic Outlook Database: Country Classification" [dataset]. https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/weo-database/2023/april/groups-and-aggregates. Accessed July 2026.
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Name
    World Bank Country and Lending Groups
    Note
    File location: Data/Macro_data/. Filename: country_classification.dta, wb_income_classification.dta.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/legal/terms-conditions
    Data URL
    https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups
    Citation
    World Bank. "World Bank Country and Lending Groups" [dataset]. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups. Accessed July 2026.
    China temporal administrative map: A Long-term Series of Provincial, Municipal and County Administrative Division Dataset (2000–2024), version 1.30
    Name
    China temporal administrative map: A Long-term Series of Provincial, Municipal and County Administrative Division Dataset (2000–2024), version 1.30
    Note
    File location: Data/Map_CHN/2013chn.shp. Year accessed: 2013 administrative division data. Additional citation: Rui C, Zhang H, Chen B. China temporal administrative map: a multitemporal database for Chinese historical administrative divisions (2009–2023)[C]. Third International Conference on Environmental Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Technology (ERSGIT 2024). SPIE, 2025, 13565: 497-507. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3059430.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    MIT License
    License URL
    https://github.com/ruiduobao/shengshixian.com/blob/master/LICENSE
    Data URL
    https://pan.baidu.com/s/1wILynp1aH_TTW9791nfY7w?pwd=4444
    Citation
    Rui Cheng. "China temporal administrative map: A Long-term Series of Provincial, Municipal and County Administrative Division Dataset (2000–2024), version 1.30" [dataset]. https://pan.baidu.com/s/1wILynp1aH_TTW9791nfY7w?pwd=4444. Accessed January 2026.
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS): China Exports (1995-2023)
    Name
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS): China Exports (1995-2023)
    Note
    File location: Data/Export_CHN/WITS_CHN_export/. It contains China's exports, one workbook per year (WITS-Partner_YYYY.xlsx, 1995-2023). Each file reports China as reporter and all partner countries. Source: Source: UN Comtrade, accessed via WITS.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available but does not allow redistribution and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    UN Comtrade Usage Agreement
    License URL
    https://comtradeplus.un.org/LicenseAgreement
    Data URL
    https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/CHN/Year/2023/TradeFlow/Export#
    Citation
    World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS), World Bank . "World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS): China Exports (1995-2023)" [dataset]. https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/CHN/Year/2023/TradeFlow/Export#. Accessed August 2026.
    ISO to BACI Country Code Crosswalk
    Name
    ISO to BACI Country Code Crosswalk
    Note
    File location: Data\Intermediate\iso_to_baci.dta. The crosswalk was created manually by the authors. BACI country codes in the BACI export data (Data\Export_ROW\BACI_HS92_V202601\country_codes_V202601.csv, URL: https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip) are mapped to ISO3 codes (https://wits.worldbank.org/wits/wits/witshelp/content/codes/country_codes.htm) according to country names.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Open access
    License URL
    https://wits.worldbank.org/wits/wits/witshelp/content/Codes/Country_Codes.htm
    Data URL
    https://wits.worldbank.org/wits/wits/witshelp/content/codes/country_codes.htm
    Citation
    Authors’ compilation. 2026. "ISO to BACI Country Code Crosswalk" [dataset]. Based on CEPII’s BACI country codes (HS92, version 20260) and the World Bank’s WITS country code table. Accessed May 2026.
    China Customs to BACI Country Code Crosswalk
    Name
    China Customs to BACI Country Code Crosswalk
    Note
    File location: Data\Intermediate\customs_to_baci.dta. The crosswalk was created manually by the authors. China Customs Statistical Trade Partner Code (http://tjs.customs.gov.cn/tjs/201904/01/article_2025122912282228908.html) is concorded to the BACI country codes (Data\Export_ROW\BACI_HS92_V202601\country_codes_V202601.csv, URL: https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip) according to country names.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available and included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Open access
    License URL
    http://tjs.customs.gov.cn/tjs/2019-04/01/article_2025122912282228908.html
    Data URL
    http://tjs.customs.gov.cn/tjs/2019-04/01/article_2025122912282228908.html
    Citation
    Authors’ compilation. 2026. "China Customs to BACI Country Code Crosswalk" [dataset]. Based on China Customs Statistical Trade Partner Code and CEPII’s BACI country codes (HS92, version 202601). Accessed May 2026
    Data statement

    The reproducibility package relies on 3 types of data: open, accessible and restricted. For the source, access type, file location, and citation of each dataset, refer to the Datasets section and the README file.

    Description

    Output
    "Many Chinas": Provincial Foundations of Chinese Export Performance
    Type
    Working Paper
    Title
    "Many Chinas": Provincial Foundations of Chinese Export Performance
    Authors
    Alessandro Barattieri, Jessica Yang Chen, Bingjing Li, Aaditya Mattoo
    Description
    Policy Research Working Paper (PRWP)
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Alessandro Barattieri World Bank abarattieri@worldbank.org
    Jessica Yang Chen University of Hong Kong jessiecovy@gmail.com
    Bingjing Li University of Hong Kong bingjing.crystal@gmail.com
    Aaditya Mattoo World Bank amattoo@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2026-09-30

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    China CHN
    Keywords
    Chinese Provinces Export Similarity Export Sophistication
    Topics
    ID Topic Parent topic ID Vocabulary Vocabulary URI
    F14 Empirical Studies of Trade F1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    O14 Industrialization • Manufacturing and Service Industries • Choice of Technology O1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)
    R11 Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes R1 Journal of Economic Literature (JEL)

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    MIT License https://opensource.org/license/mit
    World Bank IGO Rider https://github.com/worldbank/metadata-editor/blob/main/WB-IGO-RIDER.md

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Alessandro Barattieri World Bank abarattieri@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DECDI World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2026-09-30

    Document version

    1

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