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PRWP

Reproducibility package for Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size And The Global Minimum Tax

2025
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Reference ID
RR_WLD_2025_281
DOI
https://doi.org/10.60572/hj9f-6w85
Author(s)
Pierre Bachas, Anne Brockmeyer, Roel Dom, Camille Semelet, Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros
Collections
World Bank Policy Research Working Papers
Metadata
JSON
Created on
Mar 26, 2025
Last modified
Mar 26, 2025
  • Project Description
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  • Overview
  • Reproducibility Package
  • Description
  • Scope and coverage
  • Disclaimer
  • Access and rights
  • Contacts
  • Information on metadata
  • Citation
  • Overview

    Abstract

    We document new facts on corporate taxation and the revenue potential of corporate minimum taxes, leveraging firm-level tax returns from 16 countries. First, effective taxes rates (ETRs) follow a humped-shaped pattern with firm size: small firms beneit from reduced rates, while large firms take up tax incentives, leaving mid-sized firms with the highest ETRs. On average, the ETR for the largest 1% of firms is 2.2 percentage points lower than the average ETR for top decile firms. Second, althoug statutory tax rates are above 15% in all sample countries, over a quarter of top firms face an ETR below 15%, challenging the simple tax haven vs non-haven dichotomy. Third, a simple 15% domestic minimum tax for the top 1% firms could raise corporae taxes by 14% on average across countries, absent behavioral responses. In contrast, the global minimum top-up tax would only raise a quarter of this revenue due to its generous deductions and a smaller number of firms in scope.

    Reproducibility Package

    Scripts
    Readme Get Reproducibility Package
    Link: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/258/download/758/README.pdf
    Reproducibility package for Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size And The Global Minimum Tax
    Title
    Reproducibility package for Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size And The Global Minimum Tax
    Date
    2025-03
    Dependencies
    R dependencies are listed in the file renv.lock. Stata dependencies are listed in the ado folder.
    Notes
    Computational reproducibility verified by Development Impact (DIME) Analytics team, World Bank.
    Source code repository
    Repository name URI
    Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) https://reproducibility.worldbank.org
    Software
    R
    Name
    R
    Version
    4.4.2
    Stata
    Name
    Stata
    Version
    16.1 MP

    Reproducibility

    Technology environment

    Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
    – OS: Windows Server 2016 Standard
    – Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) CPU E7-4890 v2 @ 2.80GHz 2.79 GHz (8 processors)
    – Memory available: 128 GB
    – Software version: R 4.4.2, Stata 16.1 MP

    Technology requirements

    Runtime: 2 hours

    Reproduction instructions
    1. Access to data: There is no documented way to access the corporate tax data, and one dataset (Orbis) requires purchase. No portion of the code can run without the restricted datasets. See the README and the Datasets section for details.
    2. Download and place data: Once the data is obtained, users should put it in the appropriate folders.
    3. Run the code: After placing the data in the folder:
      • Open to do-files "0_master_cleaning", "2_4_GMT_output", and "Code_FA2" and update the path globals in lines 41, 11, and 17 respectively
      • Open the script "0_master_ETR_GMT.R"
      • Update the variable project in line 154
      • Update the path to the Stata executable in line 246
      • Run the script

    Since not all the data is accessible, the package includes the results produced by replicators in the folder "output/figures" and "output/tables". These files can be used to review the results presented in the paper.

    Data

    Datasets
    Corporate tax data - Albania
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Albania
    Note
    Source: General Directorate of Taxation (DPT). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in May 2020.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Colombia
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Colombia
    Note
    Source: Dirección de Impuestos y Aduanas Nacionales (DIAN). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in July 2024.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Costa Rica
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Costa Rica
    Note
    Source: Ministerio de Hacienda. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in August 2021.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Dominican Republic
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Dominican Republic
    Note
    Source: Dirección General de Impuestos Internos (DGII). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in November 2019.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Ecuador
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Ecuador
    Note
    Source: Servicio de Rentas Internas (SRI). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in August 2018.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Eswatini
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Eswatini
    Note
    Source: Eswatini Revenue Service (ERS). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in July 2020.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Ethiopia
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Ethiopia
    Note
    Source: Ethiopian Revenues and Customs Authority (ERCA). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in June 2018.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Greece
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Greece
    Note
    Source: Independent Authority for Public Revenue (IAPR). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in January 2021.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Guatemala
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Guatemala
    Note
    Source: Superintendencia de Administración Tributaria (SAT). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in February 2016.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Honduras
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Honduras
    Note
    Source: Servicio de Administración de Rentas (SAR). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in April 2022.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Jamaica
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Jamaica
    Note
    Source: Tax Administration Jamaica (TAJ). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in April 2024.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Mexico
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Mexico
    Note
    Source: Servicio de Administración Tributaria (SAT). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in November 2018.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Rwanda
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Rwanda
    Note
    Source: Rwanda Revenue Authority (RRA). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in June 2021.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Senegal
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Senegal
    Note
    Source: Directorate General of Taxes and Domains (DGID). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in April 2021.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - South Africa
    Name
    Corporate tax data - South Africa
    Note
    Source: South African Revenue Service (SARS). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in October 2022.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Corporate tax data - Uganda
    Name
    Corporate tax data - Uganda
    Note
    Source: Uganda Revenue Authority (URA). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in June 2020.
    Access policy
    There is no documented way to access the data, and it is not included in the reproducibility package. See README for more information.
    Orbis
    Name
    Orbis
    Note
    Source: Moody's. Orbis is a dataset with data on private companies' ownership, investments, and mergers and acquisitions. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in October 2025.
    Access policy
    Data access requires purchase and is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/legal/terms-of-use.html
    Data URL
    https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/capabilities/company-reference-data/orbis.html
    Exchange Rates from the OECD
    Name
    Exchange Rates from the OECD
    Note
    Source: OECD. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in December 2024 (except for data for Greece which was accessed in July 2024).
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution BY 4.0 licence
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    Data URL
    https://stats.oecd.org/
    OECD Country-by-Country Reporting (CbCR) for Tax Purposes
    Name
    OECD Country-by-Country Reporting (CbCR) for Tax Purposes
    Note
    Source: OECD. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in March 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.oecd.org/en/about/terms-conditions.html
    Data URL
    https://www.oecd.org/tax/beps/country-by-country-reporting.htm
    Total Number of Firms by country from the World Bank Entrepreneurship Database
    Name
    Total Number of Firms by country from the World Bank Entrepreneurship Database
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in October 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0) with additional terms specified in the license URL
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/entrepreneurship/total-number-of-firms
    World Inequality Database
    Name
    World Inequality Database
    Note
    Source: World Inequality Database. Indicators used: gross operating surplus and mixed income for all ages and individuals. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in October 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://wid.world/data/
    Global Tax Expenditures Database (GTED)
    Name
    Global Tax Expenditures Database (GTED)
    Note
    Source: GTED. Indicators used: revenue forgone (USD) and revenue forgone from corporate income tax (percentage). Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in September 2023.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://gted.taxexpenditures.org/data-download/
    IMF World Revenue Longitudinal Data (WoRLD)
    Name
    IMF World Revenue Longitudinal Data (WoRLD)
    Note
    Source: International Monetary Fund. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in September 2023.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License URL
    https://www.imf.org/en/About/copyright-and-terms#data
    Data URL
    https://prosperitydata360.worldbank.org/en/dataset/IMF+WoRLD
    UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset
    Name
    UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset
    Note
    Source: United Nations University World Institute for Development. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in March 2023.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 IGO
    License URL
    https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/igo/
    Data URL
    https://www.wider.unu.edu/project/grd-government-revenue-dataset
    Harmonized tax revenue data from Bachas et al. (2022)
    Name
    Harmonized tax revenue data from Bachas et al. (2022)
    Note
    Source: "How has globalization affected the taxation of labor and capital incomes?" by Pierre Bachas, Matthew Fisher-Post, Anders Jensen, and Gabriel Zucman. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in February 2023.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    Data URL
    https://globaltaxation.world/
    World Development Indicators
    Name
    World Development Indicators
    Note
    Source: World Bank. Indicators: population, inflation, exchange rates, GDP per capita. Data files from this data source are specified in the README. Data was accessed in December 2024.
    Access policy
    Data is publicly available in the data URL but it is not included in the reproducibility package.
    License
    Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0) with additional terms specified in the license URL
    License URL
    https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/legal/terms-of-use-for-datasets
    Data URL
    https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    Data statement

    Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.

    Description

    Output
    Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size And The Global Minimum Tax
    Type
    PRWP Working Paper
    Title
    Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size And The Global Minimum Tax
    Authors
    Pierre Bachas, Anne Brockmeyer, Roel Dom, Camille Semelet
    Description
    Policy Research Working Papers (PRWP)
    URL
    http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099225003242534123
    Authors
    Author Affiliation Email
    Pierre Bachas World Bank and EU Tax Observatory pbachas@worldbank.org
    Anne Brockmeyer IFS, UCL, World Bank and CEPR abrockmeyer@worldbank.org
    Roel Dom University of Antwerp and World Bank roel.dom@uantwerpen.be
    Camille Semelet University of Munich, ifo Institute and World Bank semelet@ifo.de
    Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros World Bank scesteros@worldbank.org
    Date of production

    2025-03-17

    Scope and coverage

    Geographic locations
    Location Code
    World WLD

    Disclaimer

    Disclaimer

    The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.

    Access and rights

    License
    Name URI
    Modified BSD3 https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/

    Contacts

    Contacts
    Name Affiliation Email
    Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros World Bank scesteros@worldbank.org
    Reproducibility WBG World Bank reproducibility@worldbank.org

    Information on metadata

    Producers
    Name Abbreviation Affiliation Role
    Reproducibility WBG DIME World Bank - Development Impact Department Verification and preparation of metadata
    Date of Production

    2025-03-17

    Document version

    1

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