Understanding and accurately measuring societal progress is crucial for guiding policy and development efforts. In this paper, we introduce a new method to measure societal progress that is comparable across different stages of development, time periods, and indicators. Utilizing this method, we analyze six key indicators of development with cross-country data from 1950 and find that the world is developing at its slowest pace in 75 years. This slowdown has already caused large development losses and will cause global poverty to increase if it continues. We identify 54 countries that are more than 100 years away from reaching standards associated with graduating to developed country status if they continue at their current pace. Our framework can be used to set development targets at various levels of ambition for every country and globally. The method involves specific data requirements, which means it is not suitable in all contexts.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
• Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6226R CPU @ 2.90GHz
• Memory available: 32.0 GB
Runtime: 14 hours.
Once users have access to all the data, to reproduce the findings, a new user needs to:
00-master.R script.Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, please refer to the README file.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gerszon Mahler | World Bank | dmahler@worldbank.org |
| Umar Serajuddin | World Bank | userajuddin@worldbank.org |
| Divyanshi Wadhwa | World Bank | dwadhwa@worldbank.org |
| Nishant Yonzan | World Bank | nyonzan@worldbank.org |
2026-03-30
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| World | WLD |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| Modified BSD3 | https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/ |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gerszon Mahler | World Bank | dmahler@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
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