More than two decades of sustained economic growth in South Asia brought significant reductions in poverty, yet inclusive social progress has remained elusive. Using a pseudo-panel approach with a large-scale harmonized dataset of 19 million observations across seven South Asian countries, we trace the evolution of inequality of opportunity (IOp) across cohorts born 1950s-1990s for three outcomes: education, labor markets, and consumption. We find substantial improvements in educational opportunities and unchanging high levels of IOp for consumption. Three mechanisms explain this divergence. First, educational expansion focused on basic schooling for the 1950s-80s cohorts—a skill level with limited labor market returns. Second, despite narrowing gender gaps in educational attainment, female labor force participation remains stubbornly low across cohorts. Third, even among equally educated individuals, circumstances continue to predict labor outcomes, suggesting persistent structural barriers to labor market access and fair rewards.
| Repository name | URI |
|---|---|
| Reproducible Research Repository (World Bank) | https://reproducibility.worldbank.org |
Paper exhibits were reproduced on a computer with the following specifications:
• OS: Windows 11 Enterprise
• Processor: Intel(R) Xeon(R) Gold 6226R CPU @ 2.90GHz
• Memory available: 32.0 GB
Runtime: 7.5 hours.
Once users have access to all the data, to reproduce the findings, a new user needs to:
1_main_cleaning.do do-file and run the code. 2_main_analysis.R script and run the code.Some data is restricted and has not been included in the reproducibility package. For more details, refer to the README file.
| Author | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Maurizio Bussolo | World Bank | mbussolo@worldbank.org |
| Vito Peragine | Department of Economics and Finance, University of Bari | vitorocco.peragine@uniba.it |
| Fabian Reutzel | Paris School of Economics | fabian.reutzel@psemail.eu |
2026-03-26
| Location | Code |
|---|---|
| Asia | ASI |
The materials in the reproducibility packages are distributed as they were prepared by the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this event do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank, the Executive Directors of the World Bank, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the materials included in the reproducibility package.
| Name | URI |
|---|---|
| Modified BSD3 | https://opensource.org/license/bsd-3-clause/ |
| Name | Affiliation | |
|---|---|---|
| Maurizio Bussolo | World Bank | mbussolo@worldbank.org |
| Reproducibility WBG | World Bank | reproducibility@worldbank.org |
| Name | Abbreviation | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reproducibility WBG | DECDI | World Bank - Development Impact Department | Verification and preparation of metadata |
2026-03-26
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